Author Archives: Bret Rosenthal

About Bret Rosenthal

Interpreting the news that moves markets. Principal of RCM, LLC, and founding partner of the Fortune's Favor Family of Funds

Fed Discount Rate Increase Exposed, Gold’s Anomalous Strength

A maelstrom of misinterpretation dominates the financial media outlets today in regards to last night’s Fed action. Click here for my audio post on the recent decision by the Fed to increase the discount rate. After listening to the above post, Gary Rosenthal had the following comments on the Fed move: 1) Federal Reserve banks currently have a record high of $1.14 Trillion […]

Credit Markets Warning Signal, Foreign Demand for US Treasury Falls

The following story represents perhaps the largest obstacle facing equity market integrity today.  The previous statement is not hyperbole. The collapse of equity prices in 2008 was presaged by a python-like constriction of credit. If the private sector cannot access credit then business grinds to a halt and as we saw in 2008 economic cataclysm ensues…  Credit markets flash hottest […]

Greek Fears Ebb, Gold Advances, Stimulus Demands Grow

Euro zone gives Greece 30 days to show good on deficit – Reuters The tsunami of Greek fear begins to ebb and like proverbial clockwork the US$ drops almost 1%, the equity markets rally over 1% and Gold runs back above the $1100 level up over 1.5%. By now, as readers of this blog, the financial market behavior described above […]

Greek Bailout Speculation: The Effect on The US$ and Gold

Turn off the TV and forget about the newspaper. If you want to understand the equity market gyrations of the last couple of weeks simply log on to an internet service like Briefing.com and watch for updates to the sovereign debt crisis.   Today’s trading is a perfect example of this new paradigm.  The Greek tragedy has turned into a farce […]

A Greek Tragedy of Shakespearian Proportion Continues to Unfold

After a week of credit market histrionics, Monday morning ushers in a moment of calm… Greek spreads ease; Portugal under pressure – WSJ WSJ reports European sovereign CDS spreads were generally tighter Monday, with the cost of insuring Greek and Spanish debt against default falling, although Portugal remained volatile with spreads widening. According to CMA DataVision, Greece’s five-year sovereign credit-default […]

Sovereign Debt Spreads Widen on Greece/Portugal Worries, Equity/Commodity Markets Roiled, Fed Begins to Backtrack

The equity and commodity markets get rocked as Sovereign debt woes resurface. The burning question: Will the dramatic widening of credit spreads in Sovereign debt, beginning to resemble the CDS collapse of 2008 in the private sector, lead to a revisit of a 2008 type credit crisis and all the fallout associated with it?… Greece, Portugal woes intensify – WSJ […]

US$ vs. Gold Prices: A Little Perspective, Obama 2010 Budget, $1.9 Trillion Increase in Debt Ceiling

Perspective: US$ vs. Gold -US$ tops out on March 2nd, 2009 and declines by 18% at the low on December 1st. -During the same time period (March 4th – Dec. 3rd) Gold prices rise 34.8% -From Dec. 1st to Jan. 29th the US$ rallies 6.5% while Gold prices fall 12.28% -The US$ rally has failed to break above the 200-day […]

SEC Approves New Money Market Regulations; Motives Questionable, ZeroHedge Strengthens Case For Gold

The following is from www.zerohedge.com.  This piece is so profound that a reprint is required: The SEC passes regulation that only STRENGTHENS the case to own Gold Suspending Money Market Redemptions Is Now Legal; SEC Approves New Money Market Regulation In 4-1 Vote… …Well, in a nearly unanimous vote, Money Market Funds now have the ability to suspend redemptions, courtesy […]

Bernanke Brouhaha Continued, Greek Success, Dec. Existing Home Sales Plummet, CDS Curves vs. VIX

The Ben Bernanke Brouhaha follow up: Markets are quiet this Monday as the Bernanke reappointment story begins to take shape. The Obama administration rallied the troops over the weekend and a stay of execution seems likely… Embattled Bernanke edges closer to a second term – Reuters Reuters reports Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke edged closer to winning support for a […]

G.O.P takes Mass., Market Reaction to G.O.P Win, Housing Starts Plummet, FHA Lifts Fees

G.O.P. takes Massachusetts Senate seat – NY Times NY Times reports Scott Brown, a little-known Republican state senator, rode to an extraordinary upset Tuesday night when he was elected to fill the Senate seat that was long held by Edward M. Kennedy in the overwhelmingly Democratic state of Massachusetts. By a decisive margin, Mr. Brown defeated Martha Coakley, the state’s […]