“The USSR had two newspapers, Pravda and Izvestia. In the Russian language, “pravda” means truth and “izvestia” means news. The saying amongst the Russian people put the situation in a nutshell: “There’s no Pravda in Izvestia and there’s no Izvestia in Pravda”.” – The Privateer ‘You heard it here first’ and ‘Mark my words’ are the hackneyed phrases that come to […]
Foreigners’ Acquisitions of Long-term Securities (years ascending, start 2009) 1 Gross Purchases of Domestic U.S. Securities 20479.7 24985.6 21293.9 25844.8 2519.6 2127.4 2191.7 2276.1 2 Gross Sales of Domestic U.S. Securities 19840.9 24075.0 20580.6 24915.0 2426.0 2053.4 2117.3 2243.7 3 Domestic Securities Purchased, net (line 1 less line 2) /1 638.9 910.6 713.2 929.8 93.6 73.9 74.4 32.4 4 Private, net […]
A paradigmatic shift in market behavior occurred after the collapse of 2008. The commonly accepted drivers of market direction, most especially economic cycles, no longer applies in this post apocalyptic financial farce. In fact, constant Fed / Government intervention and outright manipulation has produced a parallel universe where “good” economic news is bad for the markets and “bad” economic news […]
I have never claimed to be a market historian, but the obvious similarities of the Subprime and Junk Bond crises are staggering even to the casual observer. Maybe it is a confluence of my recent reading of Sorkin’s “Too Big to Fail”, Lewis’s “The Big Short”, and Klarman’s “Margin of Safety” that brings the parallels into clear focus, but I […]
Guest Post: M.S. Howells & Co. Jose Mazas – ‘The Art of Lying’ To be the top economist in the nation, you have to be a good manipulator. Greenspan let it slip once. He said, “‘I know you believe you understand what you think I said, but I am not sure you realize that what you heard is not what […]
The fall and financial destruction of 2008 launched a brand-new era for the credit markets. An era marked by government intervention and outright manipulation all committed in broad daylight under the protection of financial apocalyptic prophecies. Our self-styled financial superheroes (Treasury Secretary Geithner and Fed Chairman Ben “Helicopter” Bernanke), wield their collective financial imagination and money printing press like Thor’s […]
Reducing the Noise: A look at the stories that really matter A quick perusal of the stories below should result in the immediate understanding of why equity markets are lower this week. The fairly heady equity gains of Feb. have been mostly neutralized in two days. This should not be a surprise to anyone actually paying attention the the signs. From […]