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On Friday of last week I outlined a case for impending equity market strength. Please refer to this post titled, Stock Market Strategy: Reduce Shorts Expect Equity Market Rally , for complete details. Today, I would like to review recent news events and the market’s subsequent reaction to see if our bullish call has horns. To begin, I’m going to […]
The Bear is Full Right Now & May Need Time to Digest The Grizzly we stalked in April and found in May has been devouring pathetic bulls for the last six weeks. The time may have arrived for this satiated animal to take a break. Please refer to the chart of the NYSE Composite below for a clear picture of […]
I was working with a smart firm the other day and one of the partners was reticent to implement Alpha Theory. He believed that it was flawed by forcing assumptions on top of assumptions. While I can understand this visceral response, the logic doesn’t hold true in complicated decisions like asset selection and portfolio management. At the end of the […]
The news moving markets today centers around fears about renewed economic weakness and continued credit market deterioration. I have included a number of stories below offering a good cross-section of the situation. Meanwhile, traditional technical analysis helps tone down the noise and offers a pure indication of who is in control: the buyers or the sellers. To that end, the […]
No need to stalk anymore, the Grizzly is now in plain sight and gorging itself on hapless bulls. I started the ‘Stalking’ series on March 30th with the intention of raising the awareness of readers to the dangers lurking in the financial forest. From the April highs to the recent May low, the S&P500 dropped 14.6%, NASD Comp. 15.6% and the […]
As usual European news leads the way with a ridiculous ’shoot in the foot’ decision coming out of Germany… Merkel will announce, on Wednesday, a financial transactions tax, and a ban on naked short selling on 10 of the “most-important” financial institutions in Germany. Ban also applies to CDS and Euro govt bonds. Will remain in place for an indefinite period of […]
On Tuesday, May 11, HedgeCo Networks hosted its successful Manager Showcase gala event in downtown Chicago. Held at the Hyatt Regency Hotel, the capital introduction event drew a capacity crowd of institutional investors, fund-of-funds, family offices, and high net worth investors. Robert Stein, accomplished author and Managing Partner of Chicago-based Astor Financial, LLC, provided a well-received keynote dissertation on the […]
The news cycle is moving almost as fast and furious as the equity markets. I have combined commentary from around the web that I feel best represents the issues we are all facing. Needless to say, the CNBC story suggesting a ‘fat finger’ was the cause of the market chaos we witnessed last week is pure tripe…unless of course they […]
The fourth installment of this ‘Stalking the Bear’ theme brings us face to face with the devastation created by a simple swipe of a claw. If a reader has heretofore been discounting my words as mere hyperbole than I do hope yesterday’s 3% free fall will act as smelling salts. Below you will find five paw prints, I mean charts, […]
