Author Archives: Bret Rosenthal

About Bret Rosenthal

Interpreting the news that moves markets. Principal of RCM, LLC, and founding partner of the Fortune's Favor Family of Funds

Stock Market Investing: Expect Trends to Remain Intact, Investment Strategy: The Fed Meeting Holds the Key,Trader Dan & The Continuous Commodity Index

Trader Dan Comments On This Week’s Action In The Continuous Commodity Index: Courtesy of Jim Sinclaire …This chart…is significant in telling us the direction that gold prices will take moving forward. For the deflationists to be proven correct, this chart will need to break down technically which would require both a move below the 400 level and a downturn in […]

Precious Metals: A Minuscule Market, BLS Jobs Report Worthless, Obama Continues to Increase Spending, U.S. Treasury Zero-Rate Auction

The volatility of precious metals prices will continue to astound. For those requiring a courage boost, I offer the following information as succor… The Precious Metals market is minuscule – Matterhorn Asset Management The graph below shows how small the gold and silver industries and markets are in relation to major US corporations and to total world financial assets. The […]

Stock Market Investing: Fallout From Employment Data

Stock Market Investing: Market action continues to revolve around the fallout from Friday’s employment data. Equity markets consolidate and precious metals take a breather. Yes, I wrote ‘take a breather’. Allow me to state unequivocally, we believe a dubious government supplied employment number lacks the power to end a Gold and Silver generational bull market. If you feel otherwise, please […]

Stock Market Investing: The Dubai Implications, Investment Strategy: Generational Move Unfolding For Gold and Silver Prices

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) — The news that the sovereign wealth fund of Dubai requested a postponement of billions of dollars of debt this week could pose a big problem for U.S. banks… …Bove said the underlying problem is that there is a lot of uncertainty floating around. For example, there’s little information available about counterparty derivatives, guarantees that transfer default […]

Stock Market Investing: Warning Signs, Credit Risk Increases, Precious Metals Investment Thesis Redux

Stock Market Investing: The warning signs are multiplying. Blood is in the water and the sharks are circling so beware. US$ weakness still keeps the equity markets aloft but the technical picture grows more ominous. Meanwhile, precious metals continue to outperform: COMEX Metals Closing Prices : Gold ended the day higher by $6.50 to $1148.40, silver gained 3 cents to […]

Housing Starts Crater, Economy Woes Tie Fed Hands, GLD Warnings, Paulson & Touradji Make Bold Gold Statements

Mid-week and the economic numbers continue to disappoint. However, equity investors should take heart and view the chart above. This is a monthly chart illustrating the direction of the US$ and the inverse relationship with the S&P500. The chart dates back to 2000, but you can see the correlation has become more intense in the last 12 months. So, as […]

Stock Market Investing: Stay the Course & Ride the Wave, GDP not 3.5%?, Economic Numbers Troublesome, Hyperinflation Rapidly Approaching

Stock Market Investing: No change from last week. The technicals didn’t get much better but an overwhelming tsunami of weak economic data helped to drive the US$ lower and drove both hard asset prices and equity prices higher.Read More… …Meanwhile, even as Brazil implements policy changes to stop its currency from appreciating, the Real advances adding credence to the Economist […]

Comic Relief: Tim ‘Pinocchio’ Geithner & The Heaviest Element Known to Science (Gv)

Every now and then we need a little comic relief from the news cycle of this mad, mad world. I can always count on my favorite government official, Pinocchio, for an eminently laughable comment. If we are lucky, he will make a ludicrous statement on the world stage where we can actually see his nose grow while he is speaking; […]

Investment Philosophy, The Mystery Buyer, Trouble Brewing for Munis, NYS Going Broke, SAC Capital Under the Gun

Every morning my father and I begin the trading session with a review of our investment strategy. We point out pros and cons and attempt to poke holes in theory. We perform this ritual every day, without fail, for the simple reason that when investing in the stock market those who stand still get steam rolled. Success can have the […]

Stock Market Investing: Technical/Fundamental Battle, Investment Strategy: Ride the Gravy Train, FOMC Policy, Consumer Credit, Busi. Bankruptcy

Stock Market Investing: A battle between investment disciplines has developed over the last 3 weeks. As discussed in the Oct. 28th post, numerous warning signs of a technical nature are flashing. However, last week’s news headlines were replete with US$ bearish/equity market bullish fundamental data. Which discipline will ultimately prevail, technical or fundamental? The answer is unclear, for now we […]


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