Three Tips to Help You Avoid Stepping Face First into Real Estate Risk 

Limiting risk in real-estate investments substantially increases your chances of earning high returns.  A solid risk assessment prevents you from getting burned, losing your initial investment or much worse. Investors pick real estate for three main reasons: Earn positive cash flow, take advantage of tax benefits or gain the satisfaction of impacting the lives of others. No matter which combination of these reasons attracted you to the idea of investing in real estate, the following three tips can help you reduce risk and maximize your benefits.

1. The first tip is simple, but often disregarded: Avoid speculation. In my book, “Standing in the Rain,” I describe speculation as “financial Russian roulette.” The odds can appear to be in your favor and the risk can often be downplayed in relation to the potential reward. Investors are seduced by speculation. They succumb to hearsay and promises of quick returns with little effort.  Speculation is a short-term investment ploy and it minimizes real estate’s incredible potential as a long-term investment.  Long-term investors look to retain their real-estate assets despite modest market fluctuations, short-term speculative investors become finicky when their asset does anything besides rise in value. Speculation is usually fueled by misinformation, greed or pseudo demand, and it does not have its place in the real-estate market. Forget about all things “get rich quick.” Wise real-estate investing requires thorough due diligence and I suggest you never let anyone convince you otherwise.
2. Do your best to ensure positive cash flow. Being ill-prepared for a property that swallows cash every month can quickly reduce the amount of capital you have to work. Remember, cash is king, queen, prince and duke of Real Estate City. When possible, consider the benefits of a substantial down payment.  It gives you instant equity, helps reduce your interest rate and lowers your monthly payments.  Predicting constant appreciation is never easy. But, with experience or the assistance of a seasoned professional, you can take the necessary steps in an educated attempt to ensure positive cash flow. Lack of due diligence places a painful strain on your cash flow and forces you to sell your investment property before the benefits are realized.
3. Narrow your focus. Which is the better choice for you, commercial or residential real estate?  Investing in real estate carries a great potential for creating substantial wealth. Such wealth rarely comes without making a number of difficult decisions. Before investing, consider your options. Ask yourself if you are qualified, or even willing, to handle evictions, time management, repairs, reinvesting money back into the property, documentation and necessary inspections. Real estate can be mostly “hands off.” You can hire professionals to handle every part of the process, but the appeal of real-estate investing is often its “hands-on” nature. Narrowing your focus and choosing which type of real estate you want to invest in requires your careful consideration.

In “Real Estate Risk and Retirement Planning Part One,” I have included a section that details different options you have when investing in real estate. Watch for “Real Estate Risk and Retirement Planning Part Two” it in the next few weeks.  I will discuss market trends and weeding through cumbersome rules and regulations. 

All My Best,

Thomas J. Powell

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Tags: capital, commercial real estate, documentation, due diligence, economics, ELP Capital, evictions, foreclosure, investment advice, ira, land lord, las vegas, long-term investments, markets, necessary inspection, Nevada real estate, options, property, Real estate, reinvesting money, reno, repairs, residential real estate, ria, speculation, strategy, thomas powell, time management, TIPS

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RCM Comment: For today’s read I have put together a selection of stories for your amusement. One story is a fantasy, one a horror and one a Greek tragedy. Let’s make this Audience Participation Day: The first person to send me a comment labeling the stories correctly will receive a genuine Rosenthal Capital Management polo shirt. Good luck…

ECONX Consumer Confidence Picking Up
The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index for May increased sharply to 54.9 from 40.8 in April. The May number is the highest since last September, but still trails the 58.1 reading seen a year ago. The index for May showed that consumers are feeling much better about the outlook… The Expectations Index, which drove the overall reading for May, surged to 72.3 from 51.0 in April and is well ahead of the 47.3 reading from a year ago. The Present Situations Index, meanwhile, moved up to 28.9 from 25.5 and is still well below the year-ago reading of 74.2. Looking six months out, a larger number of respondents than in April feel business conditions will be better (23.1 vs. 15.7) (Of course, these same people had no idea the economy would collapse when this reading was taken a year ago), that more jobs will be available (20.0 vs. 14.2) and that income will increase (10.2 vs. 8.3). Strikingly, fewer respondents have plans to buy a home (2.3 vs. 2.6). Also, it is believed the inflation average 12 months hence will be 5.6% versus 5.9% in April…

Face-lift for foreclosure prevention – Washington Post
Washington Post reports the Obama administration is attempting to revive a stalled government foreclosure prevention program that could restore equity to hundreds of thousands of borrowers whose home values have plummeted. After eight months, the program, known as Hope for Homeowners, has helped just one borrower secure a more affordable loan. President Obama signed legislation last week simplifying and lowering the cost of the program for lenders and borrowers. Lenders that participate also are eligible for incentive payments from government bailout funds. Most striking is that Hope for Homeowners has attracted unexpected backers: Investors who had refused to consider the program’s requirement that they forgive some of a borrower’s mortgage balance if the home is worth less than is owed, known as being underwater, are now trumpeting that provision. “Institutional investors that own securities backed by mortgages are extremely keen to write down principal in exchange for the borrower refinancing into a Hope for Homeowners loan,” said Tom Deutsch, deputy executive director of the industry group American Securitization Forum.

Dallas Fed President says don’t monetize the debt – WSJ
WSJ reports Dallas Federal Reserve Bank Richard Fisher says he is always on the lookout for rising prices. But that’s not what’s worrying the bank’s president right now. His bigger concern these days would seem to be what he calls “the perception of risk” that has been created by the Fed’s purchases of Treasury bonds, mortgage-backed securities and Fannie Mae paper. Mr. Fisher acknowledges that events in the financial markets last year required some unusual Fed action in the commercial lending market. But he says the longer-term debt, particularly the Treasurys, is making investors nervous. The looming challenge, he says, is to reassure markets that the Fed is not going to be “the handmaiden” to fiscal profligacy. “I think the trick here is to assist the functioning of the private markets without signaling in any way, shape or form that the Federal Reserve will be party to monetizing fiscal largess, deficits or the stimulus program.” The very fact that a Fed regional bank president has to raise this issue is not very comforting. It conjures up images of Argentina. And as Mr. Fisher explains, he’s not the only one worrying about it. He has just returned from a trip to China, where “senior officials of the Chinese government grill[ed] me about whether or not we are going to monetize the actions of our legislature.” He adds, “I must have been asked about that a hundred times in China.”

Tags: consumer confidence, Dallas Fed President, foreclosure

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