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That’s it! I’ve had it! Enough! Let’s dispense with the absurd, ludicrous, vacuous debate about “imminent” Fed tightening. The financial airwaves and print are full of this idiotic expectation that the Fed will reduce liquidity soon. Allow me to be clear: THE FED WILL NOT REDUCE LIQUIDITY AT THIS TIME. The Fed cannot reduce liquidity because the economic environment is […]
Welcome to 2010! Now that the holidays are over and last minute Tim Geithner vandalism complete, actual real economic statistics should begin to bleed out. First up, pending home sales… ECONX Pending Home Sales M/M -16.0% vs -2.0% consensus, prior +3.9% …Now there is a real figure and one that should surprise no one reading this blog on a regular basis. Moreover, […]
Recently, information disseminated by the US government and perpetuated by the financial media regarding residential real estate has confused and misled many. Apparently, an attempt is afoot to whitewash the numbers in order to increase confidence. Will this ruse succeed? The answer depends on the definition of success. If the object of the ruse is to delay the inevitable, rally the […]
Today, let’s review the impact of the December US$ strength on various commodity markets. The results may surprise. Typically, US$ strength leads to lower commodity prices. If a real change in trend has commenced for the US$ then we can expect to see Gold & Oil prices, Copper prices and the CRB index as a whole heading lower. So, in the immortal […]
I was cruising through our archives today and found this valuable article on hedge fund trademarks, which is worth a read if you haven’t thought about trademarking your hedge fund. Trademarks are invaluable assets. They are the primary means through which most companies identify themselves to the public, and the primary means through which the public identifies and distinguishes one […]
A confluence of dubious “positive” economic numbers, supplied by the U.S. government, has given rise to the US$ bull during the month of December. If we are to believe the financial media, the debate is over: the US$ reigns supreme again. Almost every day over the last few weeks another commentator, analyst or self-styled market guru jumps on the US$ […]
Welcome to the ‘happy holidays’ edition of the RCM blog. I thought we should begin with a little year end wisdom: “Life isn’t about waiting for the storms to pass. It’s about learning to dance in the rain.” – Vivian Green Managing capital during the last two years required the ownership of solid wading boots and a strong hurricane slicker. […]
Move over, George Soros. Same with you, John Paulson. The worldwide hedge fund community may be readying itself to anoint its newest superstar, a relatively unassuming fund manager from Short Hills, New Jersey. According to an article written by Gregory Zuckerman and published in the Wall Street Journal, fund manager David Tepper of Appaloosa Management has reaped billions of dollars […]
The Fed chose not to change rates or comments during the Wednesday meeting. While we anticipated this outcome in our Monday post, the market reaction has been anything but expected. In months past the type of Fed commentary exhibited this week led to a lower US$ and inverse strength in commodity and equity markets. This week the results have been […]
