Each business day HedgeCo.Net keeps you informed with the top hedge fund industry news, opinion and insight from around the globe. From the latest hedge fund launches, to the impact of regulation, competition, and investor activism - we track the topics and people that make a difference to you.
Reuters – Foreign exchange trading volume in Japan has fallen 16 percent this year after many hedge funds closed out investments during the global financial crisis, and Tokyo’s turnover in spot trading now lags behind Singapore.
But steady turnover in FX swaps has helped Tokyo remain ahead of Singapore, its key rival as Asia’s dominant FX trading hub, in overall foreign exchange product trading, data on traditional FX instruments from the Bank of Japan showed.
Bloomberg – The financial crisis is imposing heavy burdens on the hedge-fund industry, and the strain has become more visible. By the end of last week, about 100 hedge funds imposed restrictions on withdrawals. Many funds have become financial roach motels: Investors can put their money in, but they can’t get it out.
Deregulation has taken a lot of blame for this financial crisis, but an interesting footnote is that the lightly regulated hedge-fund industry has stayed healthy enough to avoid the bailout game.
But are rising redemptions a sign that hedge funds may need a handout, too?
It’s small wonder that some funds have decided to put the brakes on. Morgan Stanley estimates that redemption requests are running at 15 percent to 30 percent of total hedge-fund assets.
Reuters – General Motors Corp (GM.N) and Ford Motor Co (F.N) posted more than $27 billion of net losses in the first half of 2008 — and that was before a deepening economic slowdown pushed industry sales beyond 15-year lows.
What either automaker will report for an encore in the third quarter could be overwhelmed by the potential merger of Chrysler LLC into GM or various other scenarios of some or all of the Auburn Hills, Michigan automaker being sold.
Both are expected to post dismal third-quarter results on Friday, capping off a disastrous week that started with reports that U.S. auto sales plunged to the lowest annualized rate in a quarter century in the first month of the fourth quarter.
Analysts on average expect GM and Ford to post losses of roughly $2 billion each for the third quarter excluding one time items, according to Reuters Estimates.
Boston Globe – On Day 2 of the fall auction season, a Russian masterpiece expected to sell for up to $3 million at auction did not find a buyer yesterday, further underscoring the impact of the global financial crisis on the art market.
Not one hand went up when "View of St. Petersburg" by Alexei Petrovich Bogoliubov was offered at Sotheby’s morning sale of important Russian works from the impressionist and modern periods.
Many other works sold at or below their presale estimates; others did not sell at all.
It was the second day of lackluster bidding at the annual fall art season. On Monday, Sotheby’s kicked off the season with masterpieces by Edgar Degas, Kazimir Malevich, and Edvard Munch that fetched impressive prices. But a high percentage also went unsold – 25 works did not sell while 45 did.
USA Today – The great unwind in the secretive hedge fund world caused by steep losses has contributed to the megapain in the stock market.
Wealthy folks and big investors yanked a record $31 billion to $43 billion out of hedge funds in the third quarter, according to estimates from tracking firms Hedge Fund Research (HFR) and TrimTabs. As a result of ongoing redemption requests from worried investors, the so-called smart-money crowd has been forced to sell assets to raise money to pay back investors.
That vicious cycle of forced selling by these private investment funds has exacerbated the heavy pressure that has pushed the U.S. stock market down as much as 43% from its October 2007 high. "It is really like a global margin call. It feeds on itself," says Woody Dorsey, president of Market Semiotics, which specializes in behavioral finance.
Washington Post – It’s easy to explain the continuing financial chaos — and the failure of governments to control it — as the triumph of psychology. Fear reigns, and panic follows. Everyone dumps stocks because everyone believes that everyone else will sell. Only rapidly falling prices attract sufficient buyers. All this is true. But it ignores the real engine of mayhem: "deleveraging." That’s economic shorthand for purging the financial system of too much debt.
Just how this deleveraging proceeds will largely determine the fate, for good or ill, of the crisis. The turmoil has already moved beyond "subprime mortgages," which (it now seems) merely exposed widespread financial failings. These were global, not just American, and their pervasiveness explains why leaders of the major economies have struggled, so far unsuccessfully, to fashion a common response.
Alone, American subprime mortgages should not have triggered a global crisis. Losses are smaller than they seem. Mark Zandi of Moody’s Economy.com estimates that all U.S. mortgage losses will ultimately reach $650 billion. But that hefty amount pales against the value of all financial assets — stocks, bonds, bank loans. For the United States, these totaled almost $60 trillion at the end of 2007; for the world, the comparable figure exceeded $250 trillion.
Forbes – The hedge fund sector has to date weathered market volitality better than the banking sector, since no large bellwether hedge fund has yet gone bankrupt. Nonetheless, hedge funds are expecting a wave of redemptions, as investors move to safer investments and reconsider their commitments to the sector.
Hedge fund sector resilience? Whereas banking sector difficulties have provoked a host of policy responses, including Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson’s now-moribund $700 billion bailout package–no hedge fund problem has yet necessitated a similar systemic response. The apparent resilience of the sector is particularly striking given that recent estimates suggest that the $2 trillion hedge fund industry accounts for approximately 30% of U.S. equity and bond trades (although volatile market conditions have led many managers to shift greater percentages of their holdings into cash-equivalents).
24/7 Wall St. – The idea of bailing out hedge funds or helping them in any way runs counter to the best instincts of most citizens, regulators, and law makers. The wealthy do not need a Good Samaritan.
Allowing hedge funds to fail is likely to accelerate and put pressure on whatever forces are in place that are moving down the markets. By some estimates, hedge funds control over $2 trillion. Most of the investments they have made involve some level of leverage. As those investments lose their value in the crisis, hedge funds have few resources to pay back the money which has created that leverage..
According to The Wall Street Journal industry experts are "expecting between 10% and 20% of the hedge-fund industry’s assets to be withdrawn by year end." That means a lot of investments will be sold off, and many of those will be stocks. An equity market recovery could certainly be undermined by that level of liquidation.
Minyanville.com – While they’re not deviously plotting the demise of the worlds’ most powerful financial institutions, hedge funds are loading up on another popular trade: Cash.
According to the Financial Times, Citigroup estimates hedge funds have recently squirreled away as much as $600 billion in cash, of which $100 billion is held in money market funds -those same money market funds Washington so graciously propped up last week.
With good risk-reward investment opportunities in short supply, hedge funds — paid handsomely to manage risk — are relying heavily on the safety of cash to ride out recent market turmoil. It’s telling that for those whose livelihoods depend on beating the market, the investment du jour is no investment at all.
Financial Times – Hedge funds charging hefty fees for sophisticated trading strategies aimed at outperforming the wider market have collectively parked $100bn in simple money market funds typically used by investors seeking safe rather than spectacular returns.
Citigroup estimates that hedge funds have now placed $600bn in cash, and that $100bn of this is held in money market funds, normally seen as some of the safest places to invest cash.
However, last week, those money funds became embroiled in the wider financial crisis to the point that the US Treasury was forced to offer a blanket guarantee on them as part of its attempts to prevent the spillover of the financial crisis into the $3,400bn sector.
The extreme measures taken by the Treasury followed mounting fears that retail investors in the sector could be starting to panic and might withdraw funds on a large scale.
