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Reuters – The value of Japanese retail-targeted mutual funds rose to a 10-month high of 58.8 trillion yen ($613 billion) in July, lifted by inflows into international equities funds and strength in share prices, an industry body said on Thursday.
It was the sixth straight month of increases in the value of publicly placed investment trust funds, or "toshins", as signs of a global economic recovery boost investor confidence. The value was also helped by rises in share prices, with the benchmark Nikkei share average .N225 gaining 4 percent in July.
The overall value of publicly placed investment trust funds rose by 1.7 trillion yen or 3 percent from the previous month to 58.8 trillion yen in July, the highest since September, Japan’s Investment Trusts Association said.
Financial Standard – As the GFC batters confidence in long-only equities, sentiment is turning to hedge funds, provided you partner with groups that are reputable and well run, said Spencer Young, chief executive officer of HFA Holdings.
The result is institutional investors are looking to steer money towards hedge funds as they seek a safe haven for their capital, said Young.
"While investors in traditional long-only funds have lost around 40 per cent of their invested capital in the year to date, the hedge fund industry has recorded average losses of less than half that amount – around 18 per cent – and proven its long-term value," he said.
Young said several major consultancy groups are now forecasting institutional investors to tip more money into the hedge fund sector as they re-evaluate their strategies following the global market melt-down.
West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) – Morningstar and Barron’s today released highlights of a recent national survey examining the perception and usage of alternative investments among institutions and financial advisors.
“Our survey found that both institutions and advisors want alternative investments that are liquid, transparent, and regulated like traditional investments,” said Steve Deutsch, director of separate accounts and collective investment trusts at Morningstar. "We conducted this survey during one of the worst market downturns in history, where traditional U.S. and international investments plummeted and almost no alternative investments provided safe haven."
"One particularly interesting survey result was that against this backdrop, the majority of both advisors and institutions still reported that they expected to increase usage of alternative investments in the future, and they believed alternative investments will continue to grow in importance versus traditional investments," Deutsch added. "Recent poor performance of alternatives has not caused advisors or institutions to question their usage."
Among the survey findings are that for institutions limited partnerships, including hedge funds, direct real estate, and private equity, are the most popular alternative vehicles for institutions.
Almost half of institutions surveyed allocate more than 10 percent of their portfolios to alternative investments, and nearly 20 percent allocate more than 25 percent of their portfolios to alternatives. Institutions generally expect their portfolio allocations to alternative investments, particularly hedge funds and private equity, to increase over the next five years. Close to a quarter (23 percent) of institutions expect to invest more than 25 percent of their portfolios into alternatives.
The survey shows that advisors are predominantly investing in alternative investments through liquid, regulated, and transparent vehicles like mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), but they’re also employing other non-traditional investments with their clients, like oil and gas limited partnerships, non-traded Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs), church bonds, and equipment leasing.
Among advisors who work with average individual investors, almost 80 percent use alternative investments with some clients. About 40 percent of advisors had more than half of their higher-net-worth clients in some alternative investments.
Morningstar and Barron’s conducted the Internet-based survey in October 2008; 252 institutions and 1,180 financial advisors participated. The complete survey results appear in the Nov. 10 issue of Barron’s.
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Proactive Investors Australia – Why have investors been selling UK-listed coal miners – even the big boys like Xstrata, Rio and BHP Billiton – as if they were going out of fashion?
Lack of understanding of the global market for the black stuff is probably the key reason. Gloom and doom has hit the commodity markets in the last three months, culminating in almost catastrophic price falls in some metals over the last 2-3 weeks. Steelmakers are cutting output. Car manufacturers are suffering from slumping sales. Nickel mines are closing and PGM miners are losing money hand over fist as metal prices have been driven down and down and down to ridiculous levels…even gold, that safe haven in times of trouble, is some 30% down from the $1000+ level hit earlier this year.
But coal’s different, surely? Falling steel output does not immediately bring about a slump in the demand for coking coal, and a concomitant drop in price, because most coal producers sell the majority of their product under contract, to a fixed price decided annually by negotiation with their customers. Unlike nickel or platinum or copper, there is virtually no spot market in coal, and thus no opportunity for “investors” – the polite name for the speculative hedge funds who drive today’s metal markets – to manipulate the price for their own profit. The coal producers enjoy fixed prices until at least next March, and will continue to supply contracted tonnages of coal.
North County Times – The stock market is retreating, credit markets are squeezed and many corporate earnings are diving. But one piece of the mangled U.S. economy is making an improbable comeback: the dollar.
As the financial meltdown clobbers world economies from South America to Asia, investors desperate for safe assets are plowing money into the battered buck —- helping it snap a six-year slide and reclaim its long-held status as a stable asset during rough times.
"The dollar has become the safe-haven play," said Kathy Lien, director of currency research at Global Forex Trading in New York. "It’s a pretty monumental move we’re seeing" and" reflects a "crisis of confidence."
While the U.S. economy by no means is showing signs of a recovery, Lien said other countries are "just beginning to feel the magnitude of the global slowdown, whereas the U.S. is maybe three-quarters of the way through. "What everyone is beginning to realize is that, yes, the U.S. is in trouble. But it’s also much further along (in the crisis) and probably closer to stabilizing than Europe and other regions," Lien said.
Reuters – Hedge funds are keeping borrowings and risk low and seeking sanctuary in safe-haven assets during the current market turbulence, but some are beginning to see opportunities to make attractive investments.
The events of the past few days — the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the $50 billion sale of Merrill Lynch to Bank of America and the $85 billion rescue of AIG — have hit funds’ returns and caused many to cut back their bets.
"Managers have been reining in leverage given the extreme volatility in the market. Sentiment is so bad, people are loath to make big bets," said Jack McDonald, chief executive of hedge fund service provider Conifer Securities.
Eclectica Asset Management, co-founded by high-profile hedge fund manager Hugh Hendry, told Reuters its hedge fund had 140 percent of net asset value invested in mid- and long-dated German bunds.
Reuters – Hedge funds are keeping borrowings and risk low and seeking sanctuary in safe-haven assets during the current market turbulence, but some are beginning to see opportunities to make attractive investments.
The events of the past few days — the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the $50 billion (28 billion pounds) sale of Merrill Lynch to Bank of America and the $85 billion rescue of AIG — have hit funds’ returns and caused many to cut back their bets.
"Managers have been reining in leverage given the extreme volatility in the market. Sentiment is so bad, people are loath to make big bets," said Jack McDonald, chief executive of hedge fund service provider Conifer Securities.
Eclectica Asset Management, co-founded by high-profile hedge fund manager Hugh Hendry, told Reuters its hedge fund had 140 percent of net asset value invested in mid- and long-dated German bunds.
The remainder of its exposure is to bond yield swaps and soft commodities.
Reuters Tokyo – Japanese government bond futures soared by their daily limit of 3 full points on Tuesday and 10-year yields hit a five-month low on safe-haven buying in the wake of the collapse of Lehman Brothers.
Global stock markets and crude oil prices plunged on Monday after Lehman, crushed by losses from the U.S. mortgage crisis and unable to find a buyer, sought bankruptcy protection.
"A pretty sharp increase in credit risk and worries about credit seems inevitable," said Naomi Hasegawa, senior fixed income strategist for Mitsubishi UFJ Securities.
Growing expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve may lower interest rates at a policy meeting later on Tuesday were also giving a lift to JGBs and euroyen futures, Hasegawa said.
Globe and Mail – Once viewed as a safe haven, crude oil has lost its lustre as investors bet that the crisis in financial markets will hurt an already weakened global economy and drive down petroleum demand.
At the same time, speculators who piled into oil and other commodities on the way up have reversed course, as brokerages and hedge funds are being forced to liquidate those positions to buttress their balance sheets, traders said yesterday.
Lehman Brothers Inc. and Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc. are both major players in the crude oil markets, and both companies are expected to unwind their positions after Lehman sought bankruptcy protection and Merrill agreed to be acquired by Bank of America.
Crude prices fell sharply yesterday on futures markets in London and New York after hurricane Ike blew through the Gulf of Mexico without doing major damage to U.S. oil production there.
Reuters- Fund managers are gloomier about equities than at any time in at least the last 10 years and aversion to risk is close to what it was during the Bear Stearns crisis in March, a Merrill Lynch poll showed on Wednesday.
In its July poll of 191 global fund managers, the investment bank also found investors’ love affair with emerging markets to be souring and their demand for safe-haven cash at highs.
But the poll also showed that concern about inflation has waned, suggesting that investors are expecting a slowing global economy to squelch the threat of price rises.
"This very much is the age of extremes," said David Bowers, Merrill’s poll consultant.
Reuters UK- Major gold firms grappling with declining output and surging costs are being cold-shouldered by investors opting for exposure to bullion through exchange traded funds (ETFs) or high-growth junior firms.
A wave of money flowing into gold ETFs, which issue shares backed by physical stocks of bullion, touched a record last week as investors sought a safe haven from other markets.
Traditionally, investors have bought gold mining shares for the extra leverage to benefit not only from a rising gold price but also higher profit margins.
HONG KONG (Reuters)- As risk appetite for equities and property wanes, investors are willing to endure negative real returns for bonds from China, Singapore and Hong Kong because their economies are seen better equipped to tackle inflation.
Conventionally, bond yields have to be sufficient to compensate investors for their holdings as inflation erodes value over time, but those seeking safe haven destinations are choosing to brave lower returns in some markets.
Bond investors are proving less patient with India, Thailand and the Philippines, markets where yields will continue to rise on worries about fiscal imbalances and authorities’ limited effectiveness in overcoming inflation.
