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The Boston Globe – Hedge funds are having their best year since 1998, yet most fund managers still are well below their peaks before the market’s meltdown last year, industry analysts said.
Hedge fund assets rose 2.5 percent in July, contributing to a 9.9 percent climb over the first seven months of the year, and the best year-to-date results since 1998, Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Index said.
HedgeCo.net (West Palm Beach) – Long/Short Equity hedge funds continued to increase overall net exposures in July, enabling managers to capitalize on market upswings early in the month, according to Jordan Drachman, Head of Research for Alternative Beta Strategies at Credit Suisse.
Dr. Drachman noted, ”As risk appetite returns to the market, many Long/Short Equity hedge fund managers have increased their overall net exposures, which enabled them to generate positive returns as equity markets bounced back early in July. Despite mid-month volatility, managers were able to preserve gains to finish up for the month. The Credit Suisse Long/Short Equity Replication Index was up 1.96% (net) for the month, while the Credit Suisse Global Macro Replication Index finished up 0.03% over the same period.”
AIR Indices seek to replicate the performance of major hedge fund strategies and enable investors to gain liquid, transparent insight into the Global Macro and Long/Short Equity sectors of the Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Index. The AIR platform also offers inverse indices that seek to approximate short exposure to the aggregate returns of the universe of Long/Short Equity and Global Macro hedge fund managers.
Performances for the AIR Global Macro and Long/Short Equity Indices are calculated daily and shown net of a 1.15% per annum calculation fee.
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HedgeCo.net (West Palm Beach) – Six months after their worst drawdown on record, hedge funds appear to be demonstrating stronger performance than in some previous recovery periods, such as during the Asian Currency Crisis and the Tech Bubble Burst events.
On average, it has taken hedge funds 13 months to recover from these market disruptions accordind to research peice by Credit Suisse Tremont Index LLC, the research reviews of how hedge funds have repositioned themselves in the first half of 2009 to generate positive returns for five out of the first six months of the year.
The report discusses how hedge funds, as measured by the Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Index (“Broad Index”), have generated year-to-date returns of 7.2% through June 30, outperforming, with lower volatility, both key equity and bond indices. Some key takeaways from the report include:
The Convertible Arbitrage, Emerging Markets, and Global Macro sectors have received increased attention as investors began to regain their appetite for risk and global markets rallied.
Performance has improved across most sectors, with the bulk of returns for many strategies moving into positive territory for the year, with 80% of all funds reporting positive returns for the second quarter.
Overall industry assets under management have dropped approximately $18 billion since the end of the first quarter of 2009; we estimate industry assets totaled $1.3 trillion as of June 30 – down from $1.5 trillion at the end of 2008.
As of June 30, 2009, an estimated 9.6% of funds were classified as impaired, meaning they have either suspended redemptions, imposed gate provisions or sidepocketed assets.
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HedgeCo.net (West Palm Beach) – Long/Short Equity managers who maintained a cautious stance through the recent market run-up appeared to be positioned to profit as markets shifted from cyclicals to defensives in June. Overall, the Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Index (“Broad Index”) finished up 0.43% for June, bringing year to date to 7.18%.
Convertible Arbitrage funds continued to post the best performance of all the strategies in the Broad Index, with 4.05% for June and 23.95% cumulative performance YTD, Credit Suisse/Tremont Index’s monthly commentary reported. As equity markets’ recovered in the second quarter, managers began to profit again from the volatility arbitrage aspect of the strategy.
Overall, Emerging Markets finished the month relatively flat despite a rebound in economic activity in Asia, as countries across the region saw rising industrial and manufacturing output, the Index reported.
Credit-oriented hedge funds performed well as credit markets showed healthy activity, with $102 billion of investment grade bonds brought to the market in June. Many believe continued governments’ activism in the markets could provide additional opportunities for these managers.
Global Macro hedge funds posted their first negative monthly performance since October 2008 as the sell-off of short rates in US Treasuries negatively impacted the positions of a number of Global Macro hedge funds early in the month, Credit Suisse/Tremont said.
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West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) – “Hedge funds finished up 4.06% in May, capturing the largest monthly gains since February 2000." Oliver Schupp, President of Credit Suisse Index, said, Emerging Markets funds were the strongest performers, finishing up 6.96%. The Emerging Markets sector has experienced a significant turnaround over the last three months as risk appetite seems to be returning to markets, and investors are encouraged by positive signs of global growth and rising commodities prices.” Schupp added, “Convertible Arbitrage managers also performed well during May as funds capitalized on the overall appreciation in convertible bonds globally. The Convertible Arbitrage sector has been up every month this year, and redemption pressure seems to have eased substantially as a result.”
The Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Index (“Broad Index”) is the industry’s premier asset-weighted hedge fund index. Unlike equal-weighted indices, the Broad Index does not underweight top performers and overweight decliners to provide the most accurate representation of the hedge fund universe.
Alex Akesson
Edtior for HedgeCo.Net Email: alex@hedgeco.net
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West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) – Convertible Arbitrage: Shifting Gears (more found here at HedgeCo/blogs) discusses the strategy’s ability to generate positive returns both during the declines in equity markets in January and February, as well as during the global market rallies in March and April.
Convertible Arbitrage went from being one of the worst-performing strategies in the Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Index (“Broad Index”) in 2008, to one of the best-performing strategies in the first quarter of this year. Many believe that the fundamental and technical reasons for convertibles’ devaluation in 2008 may correct as credit markets begin to stabilize and if deleveraging continues to abate.
West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) – Credit Suisse announced the launch of a new Global Macro Replication Index which aims to capture the risk/return characteristics of the Credit Suisse/Tremont Global Macro Hedge Fund Index.
The new index enables investors to gain liquid, transparent insight into the global macro hedge fund sector.
"Due to a frequent lack of transparency, hedge fund investors found themselves exposed to numerous unforeseen risks in 2008, and problems were only exacerbated when liquidity dried up just as investors needed it most. Yet despite the drawbacks, hedge fund returns remain positive relative to equities and hedge funds continue to serve as an effective portfolio diversifier. Many investors have been left seeking liquid, transparent and cost effective solutions for gaining access to the asset class," Credit Suisse delcared.
Dr. Jordan Drachman, Head of Research for Credit Suisse Alternative Beta Strategies, said, “In the wake of current investor sentiment, replication strategies are gaining in popularity for their ability to provide similar risk/return characteristics to a well diversified portfolio of hedge funds, while avoiding certain drawbacks of hedge fund investing such as illiquidity, lack of transparency and headline risk.” Drachman added, “We are currently seeing increased interest in the Global Macro sector, as the strategy has a history of producing positive performance during market downturns and has been the top performing hedge fund sector since the inception of the Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Index in 1994.”
The Global Macro Replication Index joins the existing Long/Short Equity Replication Index to become the second in a suite of Alternative Index Replication (AIR) products. Together, the indices offer insight to two of the largest and most popular hedge fund sectors in the current market environment.
Professor Bill Fung, a key research advisor to Credit Suisse’s alternative beta efforts, stated “In developing a replication index, it is imperative that researchers understand the in-depth intricacies of hedge fund sectors and individual manager performance.” Fung went on to say, “The team has access to superior data through the Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Index. Together with regular contact with hedge fund managers, this combination provides practical insight into the behavior of hedge fund strategies and adds a level of fundamental analysis to the quantitative construction of the Index. This is particularly important in the Global Macro space which is dominated by managers that engage in dynamic strategies in an ever changing market environment; and these managers have done so successfully during very challenging times historically as well as more recently.”
Index values are finalized daily and quoted on Bloomberg under the symbol AIRI. Performance, descriptions, statistics and downloadable price history can be found on the newly launched Credit Suisse Alternative Beta website,www.credit-suisse.com/alternativebeta.
Credit Suisse has helped pioneer the measurement of alternative beta for more than a decade. By bringing together indexing expertise, an academic partnership with key research advisors and extensive global resources, Credit Suisse continues to lead the industry in developing alternative index replication products.
Business Standard – Spooked by increasing performance losses and record investor redemptions, the global hedge fund industry saw net outflows worth $158.91 billion in the fourth quarter of calendar year 2008, the highest level since 1994.
According to a report by fund tracking firm Lipper, global hedge fund assets are estimated to have decreased from $1.5 trillion in September to $1.29 trillion at the end of December 2008.
All hedge fund sub-strategies posted negative money flows (outflows) in the three-month period with cumulative net outflows in 2008 as the industry witnessed a collapse in global equity markets, liquidity issues and failure of a number of key institutions.
In absolute terms, the performance of Credit Suisse/Tremont hedge fund index in Q4 2008 registered -10.21 per cent, the second worst quarterly performance since the start of the index. The index had posted 10.33 per cent negative returns during the third quarter. "A majority of hedge fund managers were hit by panic selling and deleveraging that followed, combined with changes in broker requirements and the enforcement of a ban on short selling in certain financial stocks," said the Lipper report.
In US dollar terms, the largest hedge fund sub-strategy outflows were experienced by long/short equity at $42.52 billion.
Chicago Tribune – Strong returns are a mixed blessing this year for investment funds that specialize in trading futures contracts.
While the stock market plunged about 35 percent, managed futures funds posted annual returns of about 16 percent, according to the Credit Suisse Tremont Hedge Fund Index.
That makes them one of the few havens for investors at a time when pensions, retirement savings and even prominent local hedge funds such as Citadel Investment Group and Magnetar Capital LLC have recorded big losses.
But the success of managed futures has also left them vulnerable to client withdrawals. Because market turmoil froze the assets in many portfolios, some institutional and individual investors are pulling money from managed futures.
New York (HedgeCo.Net) – John Paulson, head of hedge fund firm Paulson & Co., recently spoke his mind on the wave of redemption freezes that many managers have chosen to impose.
“We think it’s a mistake for our managers to use gates and other tools to limit investor access to their funds,” Paulson stated in a recent outlook to investors that was obtained by Bloomberg News. “While we recognize the difficulties of the current environment, we think it is a manager’s responsibility to raise liquidity to meet the redemption needs of their investors.”
Paulson’s hedge funds did not see the effects of the troubled economy, where most funds posted their worst year to date. In fact, when the subprime crisis wreaked havoc on the financial markets, Paulson was catapaulted into billionaire status, by successfully predicted the housing mess. His hedge funds, in turn, were up about $15 billion in 2007.
This year also saw admirable gains, with his Advantage Plus Fund climbing 3.19 percent in November, and currently up 38 percent on the year. His slightly smaller Advantage Fund was also up 21 percent through the end of November.
Most other funds haven’t experienced that level of success this year. According to the Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Index, funds are down over 19 percent on the year through the end of November. Dozens of large, reputable funds have suspended withdrawals including Citadel, RAB, Harbinger and Cerberus, just to name a few.
Paulson also disagrees with managers that “have the cash and one of the stated reasons for restricting withdrawals is so the manager can continue to invest in new opportunities.”
Paulson’s firm is teaming up fellow New York firms Dune Capital Management and J.C. Flowers & Co. to purchase failed bank IndyMac. A deal is expected to be finalized in the near future.
Julie Scuderi Senior Editor for HedgeCo.Net Email: julie@hedgeco.net
New York (HedgeCo.Net) – New York-based Harbinger Capital Partners has capped year-end withdrawals from its largest hedge fund after investors moved to pull $3.5 billion of capital. The hedge fund, run by Philip Falcone, will only honor 60 to 70 percent of the requests, according to a report by Bloomberg News.
The Harbinger Capital Partners Master Fund, which manages approximately $10 billion, has never posted a losing year since its launch in 2001. While 2007 saw returns of 115 percent, the fund has lost 23 percent through the end of November, according to the report which cited people familiar with the matter.
Harbinger is just one of dozens of hedge funds who has suspended redemptions this year amidst unfavorable market conditions. Large firms like RAB, Pardus and Citadel are just among a few who have halted withdrawals in hopes of waiting out the storm and avoiding a liquidity crunch.
Harbinger likes to invest in companies either going through mergers or in companies they feel they can strategically change for the better. The firm made headlines when they sought seats on both the New York Times and Media General; two companies in which they invest. They won their board seats after a much publicized proxy battle earlier this year.
Hedge funds as a whole have suffered this year, posting record losses. According to the Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Index, hedge funds are down over 19 percent on the year through the end of November. It is estimated that the once $3 trillion industry will manage a mere $1 trillion at the start of the new year.
Julie Scuderi Senior Editor for HedgeCo.Net Email: julie@hedgeco.net
West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) - Morningstar presented their monthly analysis of hedge fund performance for November and asset flows through October.
"Hedge funds have a long path to recovery ahead of them," said Hedge Fund Analyst Nadia Papagiannis. "November was a better month than the last two, mostly because hedge funds hoarded cash, but they are still losing money on their investments and facing the ongoing challenge of funding investor redemptions."
Hedge funds slid again in November, as the Morningstar 1000 Hedge Fund Index lost 2.5% for the month and 23.7% year to date. Hedged against the appreciating U.S. dollar, the asset-weighted Morningstar Composite Hedge Fund with MSCI Index fared better dropping only 0.8%. Hedge funds charge performance fees on any new profits earned, but those have been scarce since November 2007.
Compounding the funds’ pain, investors have responded to the lackluster performance by pulling more than $20 billion in October, which accounts for the bulk of the $29 billion withdrawn over the last 12 months from hedge funds.
Hedge funds of funds performed better than multi-strategy hedge funds this month, as the Morningstar Hedge Fund of Funds and the Morningstar Multi-Strategy Hedge Fund Indexes dropped 2.3% and 3.0% respectively.
November returns and October asset flows for the Morningstar Hedge Fund Indexes are based on funds that reported as of Dec. 16, 2008. Returns for the Morningstar Hedge Fund Indexes with MSCI are based on funds that reported November performance as of Dec. 14, 2008.
As announced in September 2008, Morningstar is also now calculating hedge fund indexes by applying the MSCI Hedge Fund Index Methodology and Hedge Fund Classification Standard to Morningstar’s hedge fund database. These indexes demonstrate the performance of hedge funds to investors who have hedged their currency exposure back into U.S. dollars. The MSCI Hedge Fund Index Methodology classifies hedge funds by investment process, geography, and asset class.
But the news was not all doom and gloom. Once again, the Morningstar Global Trend and Global Non-trend Hedge Fund Indexes performed well, funds in these categories experienced outflows during October, global trend funds saw overall inflows of $9 billion for the first 10 months of the year, more than every other category. Emerging markets fared poorly, as dwindling demand for commodities depressed the equities in commodity-based economies. The Morningstar Emerging Markets Hedge Fund Index lost 5.1% in November.
The Morningstar Developed Asia Hedge Fund Index’s relatively small loss of 0.3% was bolstered by the Bank of Japan’s interest rate cut and stimulus package announcement. The Morningstar Japan with MSCI Hedge Fund Index gained 0.5%. U.S. equity hedge funds performed among the worst this month, small capitalization equities took a beating in November, but most hedge funds hedged, as the Morningstar US Small Cap Equity Hedge Fund Index ended down only 4.6%, as compared to the Russell 2000 Index’s almost 12% decline.
The Morningstar Security Selection with MSCI Hedge Fund Index, with component funds that also take directional bets on equities, lost 2.7%. For the year to date through October, directional Europe and U.S. equity funds experienced significantly more outflows than other categories. Funds that kept a lid on market exposure fared relatively well this month. U.S. Treasuries across the board showed the largest monthly gain in decades amid poor economic data, fears of deflation, and a government plan to buy U.S. mortgage-backed securities.
The Morningstar 1000 Hedge Fund Index, a global, broadly representative benchmark for hedge fund performance, has return history from January 2003.
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