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Hedge funds gloomy on oil, CFTC data show

Tuesday, August 5, 2008 : Permalink

MarketWatch - For the first time in 17 months, hedge funds in July made more bets on oil prices falling than rising, according to the latest government data.

Short positions from noncommercial investors, hedge funds and other large investors that don’t actually take delivery of oil, surpassed long positions in July for the first month since February 2007, data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed. Short positions are bets on falling prices while long positions bet on rising prices.

"We are seeing a significant retrenchment of bullish appetite among funds," said Edward Meir, an analyst at futures brokerage MF Global. "The price bias still favors the downside."

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Tags: benchmarks, bias, capital-structure, commodities-futures-trading-commission, commodity-futures-trading-commission, exchange-trading, leverage, medallion, party-vendors, pound-on, slowdown, supply-disruption, volatility

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RBS Rises on Speculation Hedge Fund Will Seek Breakup

Wednesday, June 4, 2008 : Permalink

Bloomberg - Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc led gains for European banking stocks on speculation that demand for its rights offer is strong and a U.K. hedge fund is buying shares to push for a breakup.

Edinburgh-based RBS, Britain’s second-biggest bank, rose 8.3 percent to 244.75 pence in London trading. Investors are speculating that the bank’s 12 billion-pound ($23.6 billion) rights offering is succeeding and that hedge fund TCI Fund Management LLP is building a position, said MF Global Securities Ltd. analyst Simon Maughan.

“The rumor in the market is that TCI is taking a stake of about 1 percent and is agitating for a breakup of Royal Bank,” said Maughan, who has a “sell” rating on the stock. “They’ve made a series of strategic errors,” and shareholders would gain if RBS’s investment bank were split off, he said.

RBS is raising cash and selling assets to shore up capital depleted by the acquisition of ABN Amro Holding NV and credit- related writedowns. It declined to comment on TCI, the London- based hedge fund that helped trigger the sale of ABN Amro, or investor response to the offering, which closes June 6 and is underwritten by Goldman Sachs, Merrill Lynch & Co. and UBS AG.

RBS is offering 11 new shares at 200 pence apiece for every 18 existing shares to help lift its capital ratios. It also is trying to sell its insurance arm for about 7 billion pounds as well as its Angel Trains Ltd. railway leasing company and consumer-banking operations in Australia and New Zealand.

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Tags: appaloosa-management, bnp-paribas, intangible-assets, pergam-finance, raanan-agus, royal-bank-of-scotland, securities-firm, supply-disruption

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Hedge funds gloomy on oil, CFTC data show

RBS Rises on Speculation Hedge Fund Will Seek Breakup

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