Each business day HedgeCo.Net keeps you informed with the top hedge fund industry news, opinion and insight from around the globe. From the latest hedge fund launches, to the impact of regulation, competition, and investor activism - we track the topics and people that make a difference to you.
Times Online – Hedge fund managers are paranoid. And they are right to be. The other day I had lunch with a senior financial official whose view of hedge funds was simple. “They were a con. The returns were all due to leverage. And now that the leverage has gone everyone will see they were a con.”
You may disagree with this analysis. You may be convinced that for some hedge funds at least the returns were down to skill. You may argue that their role in the credit crisis has been at worst neutral. But you cannot deny it is pretty worrying for hedge funds when this is the view of a top regulator.
And my lunch companion is not alone. According to an e-mail from Dick Fuld, the former chairman of Lehman Brothers, quoted by The Wall Street Journal, Hank Paulson, the US Treasury Secretary, said he wanted to “kill” the bad hedge funds and “heavily regulate the rest”. The Italian Finance Minister has promised to put the extermination of hedge funds on the international agenda when Italy takes over presidency of the G8 in January.
New York (HedgeCo.Net) – The largest hedge fund run by Citadel Investment Group has fallen 30 percent this year stemming from losses tied to convertible bonds. The $10 billion Kensington Global Strategies Fund has been hit hard by the credit crunch, prompting CEO Kennith Griffin to warn investors that returns may be extremely volatile in the next few weeks.
Yesterday, Mr. Griffin sent a letter to investors stating that September was the “single worst month, by far, in the history of Citadel. Our performance reflected extraordinary market conditions that I did not fully anticipate, combined with regulatory changes driven more by populism than policy.”
Rumors of the lagging performance were so strong that Mr. Griffin was forced to set the record straight. He also cited the temporary ban of short selling as one of the reasons for the losses, saying it “created material dislocations across many of our portfolios and disrupted our ability to assume and manage risk.”
Yesterday, Dealbreaker.com had published some of the swirling rumors highlighting Citadel’s problems, fueling fear and speculation in the market. The website eventually took the post down after Citadel expressed their disdain. Dealbreaker wrote: “We removed the citadel post after it was brought to our attention that it was a baseless rumor, and was irresponsible to repeat.”
Dealbreaker had pointed out that the fund uses 4 to 1 leverage, down from 7 to 1 earlier this year. Although they noted that this was high, it is not uncommon for hedge funds to use this much leverage, though some choose to use none. To put it into perspective, Long Term Capital Management and its infamous collapse used 25 to 1 leverage, or for every $1 they had, they borrowed $25.
Citadel was founded in 1990 and manages over $20 billion in assets throughout locations in the United States, Asia, England and Bermuda.
Julie Scuderi Senior Editor for HedgeCo.Net Email: julie@hedgeco.net
AllAboutAlpha.com – The Bank for International Settlements in Basel, Switzerland was probably abuzz last week watching history unfold before its eyes. After all, one of the lynchpins of the organization’s Basel II Accord was the requirement for banks to mark-to-market all assets – including less liquid ones. And it appears that doing so in a leveraged environment has put several banks into a death spiral in recent weeks (see featured post below).
But the BIS is also keeping an eye on hedge fund leverage. The organization just released a working paper called “Estimating Hedge Fund Leverage” that proposes a new method of calculating the level of leverage used by hedge funds and, it is hoped, a way to measure any resulting systemic risks to the financial system. Regular readers may remember that this topic was also covered by the Fed’s Tobias Adrian last year.
As the authors of this report point out, leverage comes in two basic forms: funding leverage – where you literally borrow money to goose returns (or losses) and instrument leverage - where the securities themselves have leverage baked in (such as a futures contract, option or swap). But at the end of the day, if a fund rises twice as much as the market on “up” days and falls twice as much on “down” days, then the source of leverage is less relevant. In fact, divining leverage based on historical returns will also capture the leverage implicit in the balance sheets or business models of individual securities.
Globe and Mail – Daniel Gross, writing on Slate, makes an interesting point about the latest version of the U.S. government’s bailout plan: The plan, officially known as the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, looks a lot like the prospectus for a hedge fund.
“In the past, hedge funds – secretive pools of capital – were open only to qualified (read: rich) investors,” he said. “But with the stroke of a pen, President Bush will soon make all American citizens investors in the world’s biggest fund – and a democratic one at that.”
Hedge funds often use leverage, or borrowed money, to amplify their returns and often use the money to buy beaten up assets. Similarly, the bailout plan, which Mr. Gross dubs the Universal Hedge Fund, will use $750-billion (U.S.) of borrowed money to buy distressed assets. But the similarities don’t end there. The manager of the Universal Hedge Fund can hold bonds to maturity or flip them for a profit. The manager can also bring in outside expertise, making the fund look like a fund of funds.
“Like many of today’s sharpest hedge funds, the Universal Fund will also have the ability to drive a harder bargain by demanding equity stakes, or new debt securities, from the institutions it is helping,” Mr. Gross said.
Globe and Mail – Goodwood Inc., a value-oriented manager, briefed investors Thursday on a dismal September. There’s a lot of these letters going out from hedge fund managers. Goodwood’s funds were down 16 per cent last month, bringing the year-to-date loss to 32 per cent. Year-to-date, the S&P/TSX benchmark is down 13 per cent.
Goodwood executives Peter Puccetti and Cam MacDonald used their September letter to unitholders to explain the madness of markets, and plead for patience and perspective. They certainly deserve a hearing. But investors who bought into hedge funds on the basis of absolute returns – making money in good markets and bad – are going to struggle with these pleas.
“We have seen many well-known investment management operations badly harmed as a result of their leverage exacerbating the effects of the ongoing credit crunch and deleveraging we are currently living through,” said Goodwood’s team.
24/7 Wall St. – The idea of bailing out hedge funds or helping them in any way runs counter to the best instincts of most citizens, regulators, and law makers. The wealthy do not need a Good Samaritan.
Allowing hedge funds to fail is likely to accelerate and put pressure on whatever forces are in place that are moving down the markets. By some estimates, hedge funds control over $2 trillion. Most of the investments they have made involve some level of leverage. As those investments lose their value in the crisis, hedge funds have few resources to pay back the money which has created that leverage..
According to The Wall Street Journal industry experts are "expecting between 10% and 20% of the hedge-fund industry’s assets to be withdrawn by year end." That means a lot of investments will be sold off, and many of those will be stocks. An equity market recovery could certainly be undermined by that level of liquidation.
Financial Post – The Canadian hedge fund industry has ballooned in the past few years, with some estimating annual growth at 30%. But there is still plenty of room for more, given that plenty of the strategies, such as risk arbitrage, that have proliferated in London and New York have not yet arrived here.
A near full house at yesterday’s Canadian Hedge Fund Managers Speak With Investors forum demonstrated that the industry, now pegged at about 200 separate funds in Canada, is alive and well regardless of the recent turmoil. Much of this is being driven by institutional investment.
Despite so much volatility in the markets in the past two months, and the fact that some feel fundamentals have "gone out the window," Canadian hedge fund managers at the forum, owing perhaps to having less leverage than their U. S. counterparts, remain upbeat. "The response from investors was outstanding. They are looking for some understanding and this is a perfect venue for that," said Karen Azlen, CEO of Introduction Capital, who organized the event.
Reuters – Asia’s hedge fund industry, one of the world’s worst performers even before the latest surge in volatility, will see a major shake-out as the global financial turmoil shuts down a huge swath of managers.
Few in the industry will guess at how many of an estimated 1,200 Asia-Pacific-focused hedge funds will fold in the months ahead. But higher losses and rising redemptions suggest things will be proportionately worse than for U.S. and European funds, they warned.
"This is a watershed for the industry … a lot of players are not going to be here by early next year. Those with high leverage and many smaller players will be gone," said Low Jeng-tek, the Asia head of UK-based fund of hedge funds manager Gems Advisors, which oversees more than $7 billion.
Independent – Hedge funds could have an unprecedented level of cash pulled out by investors this quarter, according to insiders, just as they faced millions of pounds of losses from last week’s shock regulation of short selling. It has been a tough year for the industry with high-profile funds blowing up, clients increasing redemptions, as well as public fury over short selling and increased threats of regulation.
One hedge fund expert pointed to The Hedge Fund Implode-O-Meter (HFI) as how he judges the state of the industry. The HFI was set up online in the wake of the credit crunch "to track as hedge funds learn the double-edged-sword nature of the often extreme leverage they use".
The group’s "imploded funds" list has hit 51 companies since the sub-prime mortgage crisis in the United States kicked off a widespread downturn. That compares with its historical list, stretching back more than a decade to the end of 2006, of just 14, including the collapse of Long-Term Capital Management and Amaranth.
BusinessWeek – Some participants in South Korea’s nascent alternative-investment market have grown pessimistic over the ability of incoming legislation to support the development of an onshore hedge funds industry.
The Capital Markets Consolidation Act will become effective in February. It is a sweeping attempt to give Korea a securities law akin to those in the United Kingdom or Australia, in which financial services are regulated by function rather than by business license, and in which most types of businesses will be thrown open to all kinds of financial institutions. It will allow the development of a universal bank and plenty of cross-selling.
As part of this, the Financial Supervisory Service has been keen to encourage the development of an onshore hedge funds industry. There are a growing number of Korea-focused hedge funds, but nearly all of them operate offshore, in Singapore, Hong Kong or the United States. The government wants to position Seoul as a financial hub for northeast Asia, and has seen how hedge funds have become a vital and welcome part of the milieu in places like Singapore.
The Consolidation Act makes no mention of hedge funds, however, and industry players have lobbied the Ministry of Strategy and Planning (what they call the Ministry of Economy and Finance these days) to address this. The government has responded by floating an amendment to the Consolidation Act that is expected to go before the National Assembly, probably in October. This amendment specifically addresses the ability of onshore fund managers to employ leverage.
Reuters HK – Gulf utility stocks should be approached with caution given their need for high capital investment in the next few years and limited pricing power, the manager of the Evolvence MENA Hedge Fund said on Wednesday.
But shares of Gulf banks offer some of the region’s best investment opportunities given high earnings growth and their leverage to booming local economies, said Kamal Fayad, the Dubai-based manager of the $50 million (28 million pounds) fund.
"We are pretty bullish on financials in the region … the spreads are pretty high," he told Reuters in an interview in Hong Kong, where he was attending a hedge fund conference.
"Just look at their results the last couple of years. Their results are increasing by an average of 20 to 30 percent."
West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) – AA platform for asset managers and advisers to create SICAV SIF funds in Luxembourg has been launched by KMG SICAV SIF. The platform caters to all asset classes, including hedge funds. There are no restrictions on leverage.
Thee process allows managers to focus on investment management, the process allows managers to focus on investment management. . The platform takes care of incorporation, custody, transfers and administration. In addition it can also offer a Luxembourg address and office for the fund, organise annual general meetings of shareholders and supply investors with statements, day-to-day management and general organization as well as order placing and execution, investment performance reports, promotion and distribution and corporate branding.
The open-architecture platform provides a faster route to market with funds established and open for capital within a few weeks rather than months, which it usually takes for a traditional fund. The platform can also provide all back office support, administration and other services for funds.
The KMG SICAV SIF platform is an off the shelf solution, licensed and regulated in Luxembourg. Entities establishing a fund through the platform do not have to apply for additional licences.
HedgeCo.Net is a premier hedge fund database and community for qualified and accredited investors only. Membership on www.hedgeco.net is FREE and EASY. We also offer FREE LISTINGS for Hedge Funds!
