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West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) - The Russian market continued to sell off in October as the global financial crisis continued to wreak havoc everywhere, according to the Pharos Russia Fund, October was the fifth consecutive month of losses for the RTS Index, and its 36% loss was the third worst month in the history of the Russian market after August 1998 (-56%) and May 1998 (-39%).
During the month of October, the Pharos Russia Fund was down 12.9%, the Pharos Gas Investment Fund was down 12.8% and the Pharos Small Cap Fund was down 27.4%. Meanwhile the MSCI Russia Index was down 35.3% over the same period. The Russian government has been extremely pro-active during the crisis with its financing and stimulus packages. Thus far, more than $200 billion has been made available to the banking sector.
The Ruble dropped against the dollar causing the sector to suffer as it was one of the most popular investment themes of the year, with both Long Only funds and Hedge Funds heavily invested into the sector. As Hedge Fund (Emerging Market, Commodities and Global Macro) deleveraging accelerated rapidly during the month, these stocks were aggressively liquidated, causing very sharp price falls.
The last week of October also saw aggressive action from many of the main government actors on the global stage - the US Fed, ECB, IMF, Central Bank of China, Central Bank of Japan and many others all took steps to inject liquidity into their respective financial systems.
In the face of all of this aggressive government action, economic statistics and corporate results continue to paint a very gloomy picture. Again, the bottom line is that while governments and central banks are stepping in with a huge amount of stimulus, the private sector is slowing rapidly and that slowdown may overrun the extensive government efforts to keep the world economy from contracting.
It will take some time before the outcome of this battle to forestall deflation is known, so the next months look certain to continue to be extremely volatile. During this time of heightened volatility, Pharos looks to a few leading indicators to inform their next moves. The oil market needs to stabilize in order to remove pressure on the ruble. Should the oil price remain around $50/barrel or below, then a 10-15% devaluation of the ruble would be useful for stabilizing the Russian economy and its markets. From these levels, both the ruble and equity markets have become extremely sensitive to the oil price.
"We are well aware that these outcomes will take time to resolve, and remain cautious as a result," Pharos says, "Our approach to risk management here is driven by the increase in realized volatility; we size our positions with an understanding that smaller capital usage generates similar market exposures to that seen prior to the crisis. Although today’s global economy is facing some enhanced probability of a calamity, the most likely outcome is that global demand ultimately is restored. Russia will be a major beneficiary of the world being saved."
Alex Akesson
Editor for HedgeCo.Net
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West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) - Pharos Financial Advisors Limited, a specialist emerging markets fund manager, announced that it has been granted a license by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA) to operate as an authorised firm within the Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC).
Founded in 1997 by US national, Peter M. Halloran, with seed capital from Soros Fund Management and CS First Boston, Pharos Financial Group currently runs three funds - the Pharos Russia Fund, the Pharos Small Cap Fund, and the Pharos Gas Investment Fund.
"We are delighted to receive a license from DFSA, particularly as the first ever fund manager with a Russian/CIS focus to join DIFC," Halloran said, "Pharos intends to fill the niche as the market leader in emerging markets fund management. Already we have seen tremendous appetite from GCC investors for our Russian-focused investment opportunities."
Prior to founding Pharos Financial Group, Halloran was the principal contributor toward building the #1 ranked CS First Boston equity and fixed income brokerage businesses in Russia and the CIS. He has been a leader in the development of the Russian capital markets since their inception in 1994, bringing more than $8 billion to the markets through debt, equity and private placements including Russia’s first local IPO and more than $2 billion of privatisation initiatives.
Welcoming Pharos to DIFC, Nasser Al Shaali, CEO, commented, "We welcome Pharos Financial Group to the Dubai International Financial Centre. DIFC will provide Pharos with a supportive environment to advance their business growth in the Middle East. The world-class regulatory framework in DIFC will give them additional credibility as a specialist emerging market fund manager."
The Pharos investment team brings more than 90 years of combined expertise in emerging markets to its new operations in DIFC. Moreover, Pharos has sat on 40 seats of Russian company boards. Two Pharos Funds were ranked among the top 15 hedge funds globally by Bloomberg and Eurohedge. Currently, the three Pharos funds are ranked 1-2-3 among best performers in Russia this year.
The Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) is an onshore hub for global finance. It bridges the time gap between the financial centres of Hong Kong and London and services a region with the largest untapped emerging market for financial services. In just three years, over 700 firms have registered at the DIFC.
Pharos Financial Group ranks as the world’s leading fund manager having a focus on Russia and the CIS with a successful track record of over 11 years. With offices in Moscow and now Dubai, Pharos Financial Group has produced superior absolute returns over the years while providing institutions and private investors an opportunity to gain exposure in the emerging markets of Russia and the CIS.
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West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) - Conservatively positioned given the high level of stress that existed on the global financial system, the 3 Pharos Russia Funds’ current strategy uses alpha generation which comes from a combination of stock selection and active use of hedging tools available in the marketplace.
The three funds are showing the most resilience among funds in the Russia & CIS universe year-to-date. However, during the month of August, the Pharos Russia Fund was down 7.8%, the Pharos Small Cap Fund was down 8.8% and the Pharos Gas Investment Fund was down 2.3%. Meanwhile the MSCI Russia Index was down 14.7% over the same period.
August saw a continuation in the decline in markets globally, with Russian markets succumbing to the sell-off in global credit markets, continued pressure on commodities and dollar strength.
The Russian authorities have shown a willingness to intervene to protect against domestic dislocations caused by distressed selling. The Russian state has announced a liquidity package of more than $150bn.
It has increased its deposits held at the largest banks and offered them repo lending that references inflated asset valuations. The state-owned Vneshekenom Bank will also provide up to $50bn to Russian companies and banks to help redeem the $65bn of external debt coming due through 1Q’09. Meanwhile the interbank lending market is being supported by a government guarantee against defaults.
"Given the relative size of the economy," Pharos says, "Russia is better positioned than most to withstand a downturn in credit markets with its $581bn of reserves and over $200bn Stabilization Fund."
"Valuations are compelling and we expect to take advantage of these opportunities. We look for catalysts to the market to guide our entry points, such as stability in the industrial commodities markets, a reversal in measures of global risk aversion and global monetary easing."
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West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.Net)- Russia has held up very well over the month of June according to one of the most experienced Russian hedge fund managers, Pharos Financial Group. For the first half of 2008, the Pharos Russia Fund was up 3.8%, the Pharos Smll Cap Fund was up 6.8% and the Pharos Gas Investment Fund was up 3.3%. This compares very favorably with the MSCI Russia Index which was down 2.9% over the same period.
Trading activity throughout June was primarily driven by developments in global markets as domestic news flow was relatively light. However, Russia was very resilient through this very difficult month. The best performing stocks in June were fertilizers, metals and mining companies, which have also been the best performers over the first half of 2008.
Meanwhile, one of the most important developments in June was the final dissolution of utility holding company RAO UES. UES has been one of the most liquid stocks in Russia since it began trading in 1995, and for much of the following 10 years it was traded as the market proxy for Russia. The de-listing and final break up of UES on June 6 was the culmination of a very thorough restructuring of the entire utility sector which has seen $100B of assets split into a series of independent companies, and is one of the great underreported business stories of this decade.
"We expect financial markets to continue to be challenging throughout the summer as the credit crisis continues to wrack global markets." Pharos said, "Russia’s economy remains a beacon of stability in these turbulent times and the country is in excellent financial shape. However, global nervousness and uncertainty will cause short term volatility that will at times push fundamental valuation metrics aside. Our funds are positioned relatively defensively here, and we are focusing on investments that should outperform in this difficult environment."
Pharos Financial Group is specializing in the securities markets of Russia and the former Soviet Union. With a eleven year history through up and down markets, Pharos has a proven record of superior absolute returns with Russian Hedge Funds and Russia Hedge Fund Investing.