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West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) - Top financial industry leaders and more than 200 attendees gathered in New York late last week discuss the volatile hedge fund market and provide insights on distressed funds.
Sponsored by global offshore law firm Walkers, the "Fighting the Tape" seminar included a wide variety of speakers offered a comprehensive look at the changes in the market over the past year, as well as predictions for what the alternative investment funds industry can expect in the months ahead.
The experts anticipate a new era of hedge fund regulation, greater flexibility and versatility in hedge fund offering documents, broader discretion for fund managers, and continued growth in many of the world’s key economies such as China, India, Russia, Brazil, the Middle East, and South Korea.
Investment manager George Hall, founder and president of The Clinton Group gave his personal views on the financial crisis and what the market might see under President-elect Barack Obama. While he felt it was too early to say how the "Obama factor" might influence the hedge fund industry, Mr. Hall said that he hoped the new President would make good choices when selecting his Treasury Secretary and a leader for the SEC.
"The true impact of the US credit crisis will not be tangible for many months to come," Yolanda McCoy, head of the Investments and Securities Division at the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority (CIMA) said, although she was able to confirm that to date they were aware of a total of 340 Cayman funds that had been impacted by the problems with Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, and AIG, with more than 200 of those affected by issues with Lehman.
Professor Jeffrey Rosensweig, director of the Global Perspectives Program at Goizueta Business School at Emory University, closed the seminar with insights into the investment opportunities presented by this current stage in the cycle, shifting the focus from New York and London to emerging markets such as Brazil, Russia, China, the Middle East and India.
"The world adds 100 people every 42 seconds," Professor Rosensweig said, "and 98% of that population growth is in the emerging markets." Pointing to the expectation of long-term continued economic expansion in these regions, Professor Rosensweig said this massive population growth, combined with a move out of poverty in these regions, presents real future opportunities for investors.
Reuters - Merrill Lynch & Co Chief ExecutiveJohn Thain has suggested to directors that he get a 2008 bonus of as much as $10 million, but the battered company’s compensation committee is resisting his request, the Wall Street Journal said, citing people familiar with the situation.
The compensation committee has not reached a decision, but is leaning toward denying Thain and other senior executives bonuses for this year, the people told the paper.
Merrill could not be immediately reached for comment.
Shareholders on Friday approved Bank of America Corp’s takeover of Merrill, a deal fraught with risk but one that would create a banking giant with a leading position in almost every major area of the financial system.
Bloomberg - Artradis Fund Management Pte, RAB Capital Plc’s Northwest unit and Cannizaro (Hong Kong) Ltd. are cutting fees and locking up investors’ money for longer in new hedge funds that will buy bonds after prices fell in Asia.
Merrill Lynch & Co.’s prime brokerage unit has been approached by at least eight money managers about starting such funds in Asia to buy beaten-up fixed-income securities such as convertible bonds, said Eddie Guillemette, the firm’s regional co-head of global markets financing and services. Some of the hedge fund managers are offering to reduce management and performance-based fees by as much as 50 percent, he said.
“You’ve got people who are now setting up vehicles with long lockups to take advantage of distressed or stressed asset classes where the pricing is now at a multidecade level of cheapness,” said Richard Johnston, Hong Kong-based Asia head of hedge fund consulting firm Albourne Partners Ltd. The UBS Convertible Asia ex-Japan Index is down 37 percent in dollar terms this year.
Bloomberg - Artradis Fund Management Pte, RAB Capital Plc’s Northwest unit and Cannizaro (Hong Kong) Ltd. are cutting fees and locking up investors’ money for longer in new hedge funds that will buy bonds after prices fell in Asia.
Merrill Lynch & Co.’s prime brokerage unit has been approached by at least eight money managers about starting such funds in Asia to buy beaten-up fixed-income securities such as convertible bonds, said Eddie Guillemette, the firm’s regional co-head of global markets financing and services. Some of the hedge fund managers are offering to reduce management and performance-based fees by as much as 50 percent, he said.
International Herald Tribune - The mergers and acquisitions business is about to take a deep dive.
For most of the financial crisis, it has remained surprisingly buoyant. This was partly because there was a lot of business to be done selling troubled banks like Merrill Lynch, HBOS and Fortis.
There was also the overhang of deals from the bubble era. But in the past week, two such megadeals - the miner BHP Billiton’s hostile bid for a rival, Rio Tinto, and the planned leveraged buyout of Bell Canada - have come apart at the seams.
As the financing squeeze tightens, other deals could follow suit.
Financing Verizon Wireless’s acquisition of Alltel is proving to be a strain. Verizon Wireless has issued bonds and is looking to raise some bank debt. But the company may have to pay a high price.
Forbes - Major Wall Street firms placed large bets against Morgan Stanley using credit-default swaps, two days after Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc sought bankruptcy protection, the Wall Street Journal said, citing trading records.
The firms included Merrill Lynch & Co, Citigroup Inc, Deutsche Bank AG and UBS AG, according to the paper.
The paper said that a close examination of the trading revealed that the swaps played a critical role in magnifying bearish sentiment about Morgan Stanley.
Bloomberg - It used to be that we searched for economic icebergs in Asia. Now we are on the lookout for Icelands.
Last week, Iceland became the first developed economy to seek aid from the International Monetary Fund since 1976. It needed a $2.1 billion bailout after investors realized it wasn’t running an economy, but a hedge fund.
While Ukraine, Belarus, Hungary and Pakistan are also lined up at the IMF’s door, Iceland’s woes are getting special attention. The thought that even a western European economy that once had an AA rating could implode are bringing back uncomfortable memories about Asia’s crisis a decade ago.
The question zooming around markets is this: If the worst- case scenario plays out and the crisis continues, could Asia experience another 1997? Equally important, will investors know it when they see it?
Watch the banks, say analysts such as Mark Matthews of Merrill Lynch & Co. in Hong Kong. “Bank shares are the canary in the coalmine,” he says.
Reuters - A largely unnoticed ratings downgrade on a slate of Paramount Pictures movies backed by hedge-fund money offers rare proof that such innovative packages have proved to be wobbly investments.
The Melrose I fund, established in 2004, was cut six grades by Moody’s Investor Service from an investment grade "Baa2" to the speculative "B3" rating. The downgrade, announced October 21, could trigger higher interest payments to lenders, and will surely lower the value of debtholders’ bonds.
The fund is backed by a partial ownership stake in 26 Paramount films released during 2004-05. So, lead underwriter Merrill Lynch and other senior debtholders will maintain a minority hold on those assets until they can secure full repayment on their loans or Paramount buys out their equity positions.
Melrose I was crafted during the regime of Paramount chief Sherry Lansing, whose reign atop the Viacom Inc-owned studio ended in 2004 amid a lengthy commercial dry spell. That year, the studio released such iffy features as "The Stepford Wives," "Sky Captain and the World of Tomorrow" and "Alfie," though Paramount has never acknowledged publicly which of its pictures were funded by Melrose I.
West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) - BNP Paribas has launched a global, transversal, multi-asset, hedge fund client service team. The team will be a single point of entry for Hedge Funds for all inquiry, according to BNP, leveraging the bank’s capabilities and focusing on operational efficiencies.
The team is headed globally by John Polivko, based in New York and reporting locally to Jean-Patrick Kaiser, Deputy Chief Operating Officer, and globally to Bernard Gavgani, Equity and Commodity derivatives COO and Francois Freyeisen, Fixed Income COO.
Polivko recently joined the firm from Merrill Lynch where he was in charge of the client service organization for Prime Brokerage and more recently worked in financing sales. Prior to Merrill Lynch, Polivko also spent 7 years as a Managing Director at Bears Stearns in Prime Brokerage.
In addition, the appointments of regional managers reporting directly to John Polivko are Victoria Baker, Neil Spice and Jacqueline Man as regional head of hedge fund client service based in Hong Kong.
Talbot Stark, global head of hedge fund relationship management said, "Hedge Funds are a very important client base for BNP Paribas, following the acquisition of Bank of America’s Prime Brokerage business as well as the growth of the hedge fund relationship managements team, the creation of this function is another step in better serving those clients."
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Bloomberg - Five straight quarters of losses and a 70 percent slide in its stock this year haven’t stopped Merrill Lynch & Co. from allocating about $6.7 billion to pay bonuses.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley, both still on track for profitable years, have set aside about $13 billion for bonuses after three quarters, down 28 percent from a year ago. Even some employees at Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., which declared the biggest bankruptcy in U.S. history last month, will get the same bonus they received a year ago.
The worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, a $700 billion taxpayer bailout, public outcry over excessive pay and the demise of three of the biggest securities firms won’t deter Wall Street from offering year-end rewards to employees on top of their salaries, compensation experts say.
Los Angeles Times - Traders and investment bankers might have more to worry about than dwindling bonus pools this year as mass firings on Wall Street are set to hit a record.
The fallout from this year’s global credit crisis has claimed jobs throughout Wall Street, from hedge fund managers to floor traders and beyond. More than 110,000 people have lost their jobs so far this year, and some industry experts forecast it could come close to 200,000 before the year is over.
Even the financial industry’s biggest name isn’t immune. Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the world’s biggest investment bank, made plans Thursday to cut 3,200 positions from its staff of 32,000. Barclays Capital is in the midst of purging 3,000 jobs as part of its takeover of Lehman Bros., and Bank of America Corp.’s acquisition of Merrill Lynch & Co. is sure to add thousands more.
Bloomberg - The Bush administration will invest about $125 billion in nine of the biggest U.S. banks, including Citigroup Inc. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., in the government’s latest attempt to shore up confidence in the financial system.
The proposed cash injections in exchange for preferred shares are part of a $700 billion rescue approved by Congress and follow similar moves by European leaders to unfreeze credit markets by helping beleaguered banks. The other companies are Wells Fargo & Co., JPMorgan Chase & Co., Bank of America Corp., Merrill Lynch & Co., Morgan Stanley, State Street Corp. and Bank of New York Mellon Corp., said people briefed on the plan.
