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Commodity Online – Agoracom market analyst Peter Grandich, who isn’t among those who expect the world at large to emerge from “this absolutely horrific downturn” by year-end, instead sees good opportunities on the horizon for investors who want to “buy things on the cheap” because prices will fall in the equity markets.
He also sees bright prospects for gold—particularly gold ETFs and mining companies that are in or near production and have potential for developing additional deposits. At the same time, Peter tells The Gold Report that the “severely wounded” U.S. economy should anticipate rougher and tougher times.
NEW YORK – Deals involving asset managers rose in the July to September 2008 period, with the global credit crunch as the backdrop for a jump in divestitures to almost 40% of total sales, up from 23% a year earlier, according to Jefferies Putnam Lovell, the investment banking group of Jefferies & Company, Inc. focused on the asset management and financial technology industries.
Sixty-nine asset manager transactions worldwide were announced in the third quarter of 2008, 33% above the total of 52 in the July to September 2007 period, according to preliminary data from New York-based Jefferies Putnam Lovell. Total assets under management changing hands amounted to $1.0 trillion, more than three times the $300 billion total in the third quarter of 2007. Total disclosed deal value in the third quarter of 2008 increased to $6.4 billion from $6.1 billion a year earlier.
‘’As we anticipated, tremors transforming the global financial landscape have served as a catalyst to asset management deal flow,’’ said Aaron Dorr, a New York-based Managing Director at Jefferies Putnam Lovell. ‘’In the short-term, we expect more banks and other cash strapped financial institutions to retreat from owning money managers, private equity firms to step up their growing involvement in the sector, and consolidation among hedge fund companies and other alternative asset managers as firms grapple with investor redemptions and lack of liquidity. Consistent with the broader financial services industry, the asset management sector is quickly reshaping.’’ Highlights from asset management M&A activity in the third quarter of 2008 include:
• The announced sale of Lehman Brothers fund units, including Neuberger Berman, to Bain Capital and Hellman & Friedman.
• Allianz’s takeover of Cominvest as part of a swap of its Dresdner Bank unit to Commerzbank.
• Fortis’ purchase of the minority stake it didn’t already own in Artemis Asset Management.
• Lazard’s acquisition of the remaining interest in Lazard Asset Management held by the unit’s executives.
• Nippon Life’s purchase of 5% of Russell Investments.
About Jefferies Putnam Lovell
Jefferies Putnam Lovell, the division of Jefferies & Company, Inc. focused on the financial institutions industry, offers a wide range of corporate advisory services, including mergers and acquisitions advice and capital raising. Jefferies Putnam Lovell’s global client base is comprised of diversified financial services firms, institutional and mutual fund managers, alternative investment managers, banks, broker-dealers, insurers, and financial technology firms. Putnam Lovell was founded in 1987 and today operates from offices in New York, San Francisco, and London. Since July 2007, Putnam Lovell has been a division of Jefferies & Company, Inc., the principal operating subsidiary of Jefferies Group, Inc. (NYSE: JEF). For more information please visit www.jefferies.com/jpl
About Jefferies
Jefferies, a global investment bank and institutional securities firm, has served growing and mid-sized companies and their investors for 45 years. Headquartered in New York, with more than 25 offices around the world, Jefferies provides clients with capital markets and financial advisory services, institutional brokerage, securities research and asset management. The firm is a leading provider of trade execution in equity, high yield, convertible and international securities for institutional investors and high net worth individuals. Jefferies & Company, Inc. is the principal operating subsidiary of Jefferies Group, Inc. (NYSE: JEF; www.jefferies.com)
Bloomberg – Commodities markets are heading for the biggest annual decline since 2001 as investors exit leveraged bets and slowing economic growth erodes demand for raw materials.
The value of the 19 commodities in the Reuters-Jefferies CRB Index fell $280.6 billion, or 43 percent, from its July 3 peak, a loss larger than their total worth two years ago, data compiled by Bloomberg show. UBS AG, the Zurich-based bank that bought Enron Corp.’s energy unit in 2002, plans to exit most commodity trading. About 15 percent of investors in Boone Pickens’s BP Capital LLC hedge fund may want their money back.
The same credit-market seizure that led to last month’s bankruptcy of New York-based Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and the forced sale of Merrill Lynch & Co. is squeezing speculators who drove commodities to record highs. Slower expansion in the U.S., China and India is also undermining prices of crude oil, which fell 36 percent, and corn, down 43 percent.
Financial Times – Brian Hunter, the trader who was blamed for the collapse of $9bn hedge fund Amaranth Advisors two years ago, has taken advantage of last month’s plunge in commodity prices to help propel the year-to-date return at the fund he now advises to 230 per cent.
The Peak Ridge Capital Commodities Volatility fund, which Mr Hunter advises, returned 24 per cent in July as commodities prices fell 10 per cent for the month.
The prices were down 19 per cent from their peak on July 3rd – the biggest monthly decline since March 1980, measured by the Reuters-Jefferies CRB Index.
Slumping demand and steadily rising inventories sent the prices for contracts ranging from oil to soyabeans plunging in July, suggesting that the six-year-old commodity bubble may have burst.
Washington Post – John W. Henry & Co., the investment firm run by the Boston Red Sox baseball team’s owner, is among hedge funds that in July suffered their worst drops in almost 18 months as oil and other commodities retreated from record prices.
John W. Henry lost 17 percent on its JWH GlobalAnalytics fund, the firm said on its Web site. Altis Partners’ $1 billion global futures program fell 18 percent, paring its gain for the year to 10 percent. London-based Man Group’s AHL Diversified Futures, the computer program that trades about $25 billion of investments, dropped 5.5 percent through July 28, or a loss of about $1.37 billion in the month.
Oil, natural gas, nickel and corn prices all tumbled in July, making it the worst month for the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Commodity Index in 28 years. The drops pushed commodities trading advisers to their biggest declines since March 2007, according to data compiled by fund tracker Barclay Hedge.
Bloomberg – John W. Henry & Co., the investment firm run by the Boston Red Sox baseball team’s owner, is among hedge funds that suffered their worst drops in almost 18 months in July as oil and other commodities retreated from records.
John W. Henry lost 17 percent on its JWH GlobalAnalytics fund, the firm said on its Web site. Altis Partners Ltd.’s $1 billion global futures program fell 18 percent, paring its gain for the year to 10 percent. London-based Man Group Plc’sAHL Diversified Futures Ltd., the computer program that trades about $25 billion of investments, dropped 5.5 percent through July 28, or a loss of about $1.37 billion in the month.
Oil, natural gas, nickel and corn prices all tumbled in July, making it the worst month for the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Commodity Index in 28 years. The drops pushed commodities trading advisers, which manage about $234 billion, to post their biggest declines since March 2007, according to data compiled by BarclayHedge, a Fairfield, Iowa-based fund-tracker. So-called CTA funds rose 8.3 percent in the first half, making them the best performing strategy in an industry that had its worst start to a year in nearly two decades.
