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West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) - The Ernst and Young New Zealand Absolute Return index surged to its second highest level since inception in October, gaining 2.83% for the month, putting year to date performance at +15.8%, and year on year performance at +18.07%.
Profitable performance from those managers with a positive exposure to the serial correlation of market returns (what some call “trend following”), and implied volatility contributed to a substantial proportion of the month’s gain. A long-short commodities component also surprised with a positive performance, even in the face of weaker commodity markets.
New Zealand Absolute Return Association (NZARA) Chairman Anthony Limbrick, who is also Chief Investment Officer of Pure Capital, one of the contributing managers, said, “The Ernst & Young New Zealand Absolute Return Index was developed to do two things. The first was to raise both offshore and domestic awareness of the small but innovative New Zealand industry. This is an ongoing process but we are confident we are making progress. The second, to highlight the competence of New Zealand managers, continues to be reinforced by the strong performance of the index, both in outright terms, and in relative terms against our global peers”.
The Ernst and Young New Zealand Absolute Return Index is based on a concept of simple averages i.e. each of the seven constituent managers presents an “NZARA Average”, an average of the performance of all their funds or programs that are available for new money. In some cases a manager is presenting an average of several products. This collection of averages is then compiled again as a simple average to create the index. Ernst and Young compiles the index but is not a verification agent and does not guarantee the veracity of the performance numbers presented by the individual managers.
The index documentation was compiled by law firm Minter Ellison Rudd Watts.
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Bloomberg - Hedge-fund assets may fall to about $1 trillion by the middle of next year, a decline of almost 50 percent from their peak in June, because of market losses and client withdrawals, Citigroup Inc. said in a report.
Managers are likely to see investors, led by funds of funds, pull 20 percent of their money, Tobias Levkovich, an analyst at the New York-based bank, wrote yesterday. Funds of funds are middlemen who select hedge funds for their clients.
“The so-called `Swiss hot money’ wants out and funds are responding,” Levkovich wrote, referring to Swiss investors who have a shorter investing period than pension funds. “Citi’s credit analysts estimate that hedge funds have raised cash to roughly 40% of assets already in anticipation of known redemptions and possibly unanticipated demands from investors.”
Hedge funds lost an average of 16 percent this year through October, according to data compiled by Hedge Fund Research Inc., as stock and commodity markets tumbled and lending tightened. The industry has lost money in only one year — a 1.45 percent decline in 2002 — since the Chicago-based firm began tracking returns in 1990.
Proactive Investors Australia - Why have investors been selling UK-listed coal miners – even the big boys like Xstrata, Rio and BHP Billiton - as if they were going out of fashion?
Lack of understanding of the global market for the black stuff is probably the key reason. Gloom and doom has hit the commodity markets in the last three months, culminating in almost catastrophic price falls in some metals over the last 2-3 weeks. Steelmakers are cutting output. Car manufacturers are suffering from slumping sales. Nickel mines are closing and PGM miners are losing money hand over fist as metal prices have been driven down and down and down to ridiculous levels…even gold, that safe haven in times of trouble, is some 30% down from the $1000+ level hit earlier this year.
But coal’s different, surely? Falling steel output does not immediately bring about a slump in the demand for coking coal, and a concomitant drop in price, because most coal producers sell the majority of their product under contract, to a fixed price decided annually by negotiation with their customers. Unlike nickel or platinum or copper, there is virtually no spot market in coal, and thus no opportunity for “investors” – the polite name for the speculative hedge funds who drive today’s metal markets – to manipulate the price for their own profit. The coal producers enjoy fixed prices until at least next March, and will continue to supply contracted tonnages of coal.
Times Online - Surging fears of Armageddon in the global financial system ravaged a wide selection of commodities across Asia as groups ranging from hedge funds to day traders spent the day in a headlong flight from risk.
The shock waves from the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers reverberated through markets for vegetable oil, soy beans, rubber and industrial metals as confidence in the financial system faltered, global growth prospects dimmed and cash became king.
Broad baskets of commodities — once seen by speculators as a sure-fire bet because of China and India’s apparently unstoppable growth — were sold, with food and metals tracking the sharp declines in crude oil.
Dealing floors in Asia descended into mayhem as analysts forecast a period where commodity markets were effectively “frozen” by a sudden drought of fresh capital.
Stamford Advocate - A Greenwich hedge fund company is among hundreds of the risky investment entities that have closed or are projected to close this year amid volatile equity and commodity markets.
Turnberry Capital Management told investors last week that it will liquidate its fund and close its doors after most of the clients sought to withdraw their money, Reuters reported. The fund, which invests in distressed debt, once managed about $800 million.
"We intend to take a series of steps to liquidate the Fund and redeem all Fund investors at the same pace," fund manager Jeff Dobbs wrote in a letter to clients that Reuters obtained. "After Labor Day, we will commence a sell-down of the Fund’s security holdings in order to raise cash to fund redemptions."
istockAnalyst.com- Investors face something of a new landscape in financial markets this week after tumbling oil and food prices eased immediate concerns about inflation, potentially freeing central banks to fight slow economic growth.
The focus, however, will also be on some old stalwarts - a continuing stream of corporate earnings reports and the U.S. employment report for July, a monthly bellwether for the health of the American economy.
The past two weeks have seen major declines on commodity markets, which until recently were booming. They had provided investors with gains but also headaches because of the impact of higher prices on companies and economies.
That has now turned around. Since hitting a record above $147 a barrel on July 11, oil has fallen 15 percent.
Food prices have seen similar moves. Wheat is down 18 percent in the past month while corn has lost 25 percent.
From a broad investor perspective, this can be good news, assuming it continues.