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Reuters - Asian stocks plummeted, led by an 11 percent drop on Japan’s Nikkei, and oil prices dropped to a one-year low on Thursday as fears grew of a more protracted and sharp global slowdown than initially expected.
Major European stock markets were expected to open down as much as 5.9 percent, according to financial bookmakers, as investors anticipated poor corporate results in such an uncertain economic environment, while the dollar gained in a flight from risk.
Optimism about the stabilisation in money markets has been swept aside and widespread selling of global equities has resumed in earnest as the quarterly results season gets underway and reports trickle in about sharp losses at hedge funds.
"I think today there is just a combination of uncertainty and deleveraging in the market," said Amar Gill, head of thematic research at CLSA in Singapore.
Bloomberg - Hedge fund managers, after enduring the industry’s worst month in a decade, are seeking to explain to investors what went wrong and what they are doing about it.
“We clearly underestimated several things, most importantly the tsunami of redemptions that are being delivered to hedge funds as investors line up to get out of these funds as well as record outflows from equity mutual funds,” Jeffrey Gendell, who runs Greenwich, Connecticut-based Tontine Associates LLC, wrote in an Oct. 1 letter to clients.
“I am not a nervous person by nature, but should have been under the circumstances,” wrote Gendell, whose Tontine Partners LP fund plunged 59 percent in September, leaving it down 67 percent for the year, according to investors. Gendell, 49, had expected shares of steel, engineering, airline and chemical companies to appreciate because of falling oil prices. Instead they plummeted.
Houston Chronicle - Boone Pickens, the billionaire founder of BP Capital LLC, said 15 percent of his hedge funds’ holders have asked for the option to withdraw their money after he lost more than $1 billion in energy trades this year.
Pickens, who manages funds linked to energy commodities and equities, said his equity fund has taken a "real hit" as oil company stocks and oil prices have plummeted.
"I feel like all my fingers are mashed in the door right now," Pickens, 80, said on CNBC today. "I’m trying to get someone to open the door for me."
The Wall Street Journal reported last week that Pickens was having his worst performance in 10 years, with his funds losing about $1 billion.
"It’s more than that now," Pickens said.
Pickens said his funds require a 90-day notice to withdraw money, "so if we can recover in the fourth quarter," people might reconsider exiting.
Forbes - Russia’s government and central bank must act to lure additional funds into its financial market, President Dmitry Medvedev said on Thursday.
"The government and central bank should undertake all necessary measures to ensure inflows of additional funds into the financial market," Medvedev told reporters ahead of a meeting of government officials on financial markets.
"The situation on the Russian market today does not reflect the real state of the economy," he said. "Russian remains an attractive place for financial investments."
Russia’s stocks fell more than 5 percent on Wednesday to a fresh two-year low as poor performance prompted redemptions from hedge funds ahead of results, while falling oil prices weighed on future prospects.
The sell-off has seen the benchmark RTS index shed nearly half of its value since mid-March.
Globes - Priority Investments Ltd.’s Israeli hedge fund index, Hedge Fund Priority Index (HFPI) fell 0.85% in July, compared with a 4.66% drop by its benchmark, the Tel Aviv 25 Index. However, the Hedge Fund Research Inc. (HFRI) fund weighted composite index fell 2.17% compared with a 0.98% drop by the S&P 500 Index.
During the first half of July, high oil prices continued to trouble the US economy, and weighed down financial stocks, which weakened the dollar against other currencies. The US government bailout of Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNY) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE), plus the restrictions placed on short sellers, contributed to gains in the second half of the month.
BusinessWeek - Platinum and palladium prices rose Thursday alongside gold prices, though the gains were dampened somewhat by falling oil prices and a stronger dollar.
Precious metals are often bought to hedge against a weakening dollar.
Platinum futures for October delivery rose $43.50 to settle at $1,484.20 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Palladium futures for December delivery rose $6.50 to settle at $296.10 an ounce.
A note from a UBS analyst encouraging investors to buy gold boosted precious metals.
Reuters - The commodity half of oil tycoon T. Boone Pickens’s BP Capital hedge fund lost 35 percent of its value in July, the New York Post said, citing sources.
The fund is believed to be down about 10 percent for the year, the paper said.
A Pickens spokeswoman told the paper that commodity-fund investors were informed that the steep decline in natural gas and oil prices has had an adverse impact on its performance.
"We continue to analyze the market and adjust accordingly," the spokeswoman was quoted as saying.
MarketWatch - For the first time in 17 months, hedge funds in July made more bets on oil prices falling than rising, according to the latest government data.
Short positions from noncommercial investors, hedge funds and other large investors that don’t actually take delivery of oil, surpassed long positions in July for the first month since February 2007, data from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission showed. Short positions are bets on falling prices while long positions bet on rising prices.
"We are seeing a significant retrenchment of bullish appetite among funds," said Edward Meir, an analyst at futures brokerage MF Global. "The price bias still favors the downside."
Reuters UK - U.S. airlines are cheering a steep decline in the price of jet fuel since mid-July, when crude oil began a nearly $27-per-barrel descent, but that good news may come with a slight sting for carriers that locked in fuel prices when oil was at its peak.
The risk is that oil may drift below the current price airlines guaranteed with hedging contracts, which are usually options. If that happens, the hedges carriers purchased could be a waste of money.
Worse yet, it is possible some airlines could be committed to paying more for their fuel than market prices.
"Given some of the hedging mechanisms they are using, they are going to be subject to significant losses on those portfolios. We’ve never seen such volatility on oil prices," said Brian Nelson, equity analyst at Morningstar.
Biloxi Sun Herald- The Senate voted Tuesday to move ahead with a Democratic plan to curb speculation in oil markets that has been blamed for some of the recent run-up in oil prices.
The 94-0 vote clears a procedural hurdle for the legislation, which would require the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to set limits on trading in oil markets by investors and speculators.
Despite the big tally, however, the rival parties are bitterly divided on how to address high gasoline prices and an underlying stalemate remains in place.
Yahoo News- Investors can’t seem to catch a break — Wall Street again starts a week with oil prices at their highest levels yet, and banks poised to reveal that they remain on shaky footing.
None of the troubles that have rocked the market over the past year have let up yet: not the housing market, not high commodities costs, not the ailing financial system.
"We’ve got a fistful of drivers that are working against the market," said Arthur Hogan, chief market analyst at Jefferies & Co. "And they’re all important."
It’s a different collection of worries than the ones that hurled stocks lower at the beginning of the decade, after the technology bubble burst and the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks sent the country reeling. But many on Wall Street are worried that the effects of the country’s current problems could end up being just as devastating, or more so, for stocks.
Business24-7- When oil prices were as low as $10-20 a barrel two decades ago, the UAE seriously considered borrowing from the local market to finance its swelling budget deficit. But the plan was shelved in favour of painful spending cuts.
Such reductions, however, could not be maintained for a long time because of the rising domestic development needs and a seven per cent growth in the population. As a result, the deficit in the country sharply widened.
Yet authorities still never considered borrowing or introducing income taxes for two reasons: the country’s petrodollar income was swelling and a gigantic overseas investment empire was taking shape.