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Fort Worth Business Press – The rescue of the American financial system proposed by Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner is, in all but name, a gigantic hedge fund. The government would lend vast sums to private investors to enable them to buy loss-ridden assets at discounts from banks with the prospect of making sizable profits. If that’s not a hedge fund, what would be? The hope is that the $14 trillion U.S. banking system would expand lending if it could get rid of many of the lousy securities and loans already on its books.
Almost everyone thinks a healthier banking system is necessary for a sustained economic recovery. Can the Geithner plan work?
Bloomberg – BlackRock Inc.’s global macro fund, the world’s second-best performer over two years among hedge funds that invest based on economic trends, is betting against this month’s equities rally and buying bonds as a recovery from the worst credit crisis since the Great Depression falters.
BlackRock’s A$216 million ($152 million) Asset Allocation Alpha Fund returned 41 percent in 2008, when hedge funds around the world lost a record 19 percent on average. The fund is short U.S. and Australian equities, expecting them to decline, and long U.S., German, Australian, Canadian, and U.K. bonds, said its manager David Hudson.
“The risk is that the economic recovery disappoints in the second half and that equity markets need to revisit their lows in the next few months and maybe go through them,” Sydney-based Hudson said in an interview March 20.
The MSCI World Index, which tumbled 42 percent last year, has rallied 21 percent since March 9, boosted in part by the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to pump money into the economy to get credit flowing. Hudson profited from the declines last year by betting against equities.
BlackRock, which oversees $1.3 trillion, is the biggest publicly traded asset manager in the U.S. Over a third of total assets are managed on behalf of non-U.S. investors, and nearly one-third of its employees are outside the U.S.
Paul Volcker, one of the men President-elect Barack Obama is counting on to save the U.S. economy, last night helped the Museum of American Finance raise about $470,000 at a gala dinner.
The former Federal Reserve chairman’s Rolodex and clout helped the museum come within $30,000 of the money raised at its inaugural gala before the crisis started last year.
Jeanne Driscoll, the museum’s development director, smiled as patrons arrived, including Merrill Lynch & Co. Vice Chairman William McDonough and Blackstone Group L.P. co-founder Pete Peterson. She said a Volcker-less affair and the absence of many of his rich and powerful friends would have raised much less in the current economy, which he is charged with fixing as head of Obama’s Economic Recovery Advisory Board.
Reuters – Asian stocks rose to a two-month high on Monday, with expectations for a global economic recovery later this year on the back of massive government spending prompting investors to wade back into riskier assets.
Regional equities have risen for six consecutive days, bolstered by expectations big government stimulus spending packages in coming weeks will revive growth and banks will eventually lend to each other again.
Major European stocks were expected to open as much as 0.4 percent higher, according to financial bookmakers, on hopes companies will benefit from the collective efforts of central banks and other policymakers.