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West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) – “Hennessee Group research and discussions with hedge fund managers has lead us to believe that the 20 year secular bull market in bonds is over.” Charles Gradante, Co-Founder of hedge fund investor consultant, Hennessee Group LLC, said of the 9 year high point seen this month in hedge funds.
“We see a problem growing in the bond market. The Government is issuing more debt than it is buying back. This has to lead to rates increasing and equity PE ratios adjusting downward. Our contacts among hedge fund managers continue to buy gold and short Treasuries. However, Hennessee Group expects the Treasury and Fed to put a short squeeze on at an opportune time.”
The Hennessee Hedge Fund Index advanced +5.68% in May (+11.40% YTD), while the S&P 500 increased +5.31% (+1.76% YTD), the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced +4.07% (-3.14% YTD), and the NASDAQ Composite Index advanced +3.32% (+12.52% YTD). Bonds also rose, as the Barclays Aggregate Bond Index advanced +0.73% (+1.33% YTD).
Managers have been maintaining a conservative investment strategy, which has caused them to lag in the recent market rally. In May, funds also benefited from long positions in energy and commodity-related positions, which performed strongly.
“With hedge funds up +5.68%, May was the best month for hedge funds since February 2000, when the index was up +6.83,” said Lee Hennessee , Managing Principal of Hennessee Group . “Gains were largely driven by arbitrage strategies. However, long/short equity managers, with reduced levels of exposure, also performed well, participating significantly in the market rally while maintaining hedges. With a market correction in the short term being a possibility, we feel that most hedge funds are positioned conservatively and will be able to quickly alter exposures to protect capital if the market experiences a correction.”
“May had the biggest one month run up in commodities in 35 years,” commented Charles Gradante. “It appears to us, from Hennessee Group research and manager conversations, to be speculative and led by commodity ETF demand, which exceeds "real" demand. Furthermore, margin requirements favor the speculators. Hedge funds are betting commodities will continue to rise with many long agriculture commodities, such as sugar and corn.”
Editing by Alex Akesson
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Charlotte Business Journal – In early 2008, Jim Morgan and his partners at Covenant Capital sent a gloomy letter to their investors.
After a couple of disappointing years, the letter said, the hedge-fund firm was preparing to close. It told investors how they could retrieve their funds.
While a handful of investors took their money, a number asked Morgan, now chief executive of Krispy Kreme Doughnuts Inc., and his team to continue.
They did. And Covenant went on to have one of its best years in 2008, even as the market was collapsing.
Covenant’s fund finished 2008 up 12%, while the S&P 500 ended the year down 38% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 34%.
With less than $10 million in assets, the firm is now reopening the fund to new investors as well as accepting additional capital from existing investors.
New York (HedgeCo.Net ) – After a disappointing 2008, hedge funds seem to be on the up and up, advancing 1.10% in January according to the latest research by the New York-based Hennessee Group.
According to the research, convertible arbitrage funds are leading the pack, advancing 5.79% in January with the Arbitrage/Event Driven Index advancing 2.36% as a whole. Following suit was the long/short equity strategy, which was up .90% for the month. Experts analyzed this was due to profits made from shorting earnings, since only 55% of companies had met earnings expectations in January. In addition, the Global/Macro fund index rose .44% for the month.
Mutual funds also seem to be showing signs of revival. “We are encouraged by the $6.5 billion that poured into mutual funds during the last week of January,” said Lee Hennessee, Managing Principal of Hennessee Group. “We continue to monitor fund flows and believe that if this trend continues, it could be basing and a bullish sign for equity markets.”
Hedge funds outperformed the markets last month across the board. The S & P 500 dropped 8.57%, the NASDAQ Composite Index declined 6.38% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 8.84%.
Julie Scuderi Senior Editor for HedgeCo.Net Email: julie@hedgeco.net
HedgeCo.Net is a premier hedge fund database and community for qualified and accredited investors only. Membership on www.hedgeco.net is FREE and EASY. We also offer FREE LISTINGS for Hedge Funds! Be sure to check out our sister sites. www.hedgefundlounge.com, www.hedgefundtools.com, and www.hedgefundemployment.com
New York (HedgeCo.Net ) – After a disappointing 2008, hedge funds seem to be on the up and up, advancing 1.10% in January according to the latest research by the New York-based Hennessee Group.
According to the research, convertible arbitrage funds are leading the pack, advancing 5.79% in January with the Arbitrage/Event Driven Index advancing 2.36% as a whole. Following suit was the long/short equity strategy, which was up .90% for the month. Experts analyzed this was due to profits made from shorting earnings, since only 55% of companies had met earnings expectations in January. In addition, the Global/Macro fund index rose .44% for the month.
Mutual funds also seem to be showing signs of revival. “We are encouraged by the $6.5 billion that poured into mutual funds during the last week of January,” said Lee Hennessee, Managing Principal of Hennessee Group. “We continue to monitor fund flows and believe that if this trend continues, it could be basing and a bullish sign for equity markets.”
Hedge funds outperformed the markets last month across the board. The S & P 500 dropped 8.57%, the NASDAQ Composite Index declined 6.38% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 8.84%.
Julie Scuderi Senior Editor for HedgeCo.Net Email: julie@hedgeco.net
HedgeCo.Net is a premier hedge fund database and community for qualified and accredited investors only. Membership on www.hedgeco.net is FREE and EASY. We also offer FREE LISTINGS for Hedge Funds! Be sure to check out our sister sites. www.hedgefundlounge.com, www.hedgefundtools.com, and www.hedgefundemployment.com
The Australian – US stocks fell as another drop in oil prices and a warning from Toyota Motor underscored the unsparing nature of the slowdown.
Toyota forecast an operating loss for the current year, the first in the car maker’s history. The Japanese giant was thought to have developed a watertight strategy that would yield profits through thick and thin, making it the subject of managerial guides like the 2004 book The Toyota Way.
But the spreading recession caught up on Toyota, too, and it blamed a slump in the global automobile market and a sharp appreciation in the Japanese yen against major currencies for a likely loss. American depositary shares of Toyota fell $US3.50, or 5.45 per cent, to $US60.88.
General Motors was by far the weakest stock on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, falling US97 cents, or 22 per cent, to 3.52. Analysts warned that the Government rescue measure may not be enough to keep the car and truck maker out of bankruptcy court.
