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New York (HedgeCo.net) – Highlights of a second annual national survey released by Morningstar and Barron’s Magazine examining the perception and usage of alternative investments among institutions and financial advisors showed that hedge funds were the most popular alternative vehicles over the last five years, and institutions and advisors expect to continue to increase allocations to hedge funds over the next five years.
“One of the most interesting findings from our survey is that both institutions and advisors continue to view alternative investments optimistically, despite their questionable performance, correlation, and liquidity during last year’s global downturn as well as the high-profile scandals that rocked the hedge fund industry,” said Steve Deutsch, director of the pension, endowment, and foundation database at Morningstar. “Again this year, the majority of participants indicate that they plan to increase allocations to alternatives, but with greater scrutiny and due diligence given to those investments.”
Among the survey findings:
Current and Future Usage of Alternatives
• More than 60% of institutions and advisors believe that alternatives will be as important or more important than traditional investments over the next five years.
• The majority of institutions and advisors expect alternatives to account for more 10% of their portfolios over the next five years; a quarter of institutions expect alternatives to account for more than 25% of their portfolios.
• Hedge funds were the most popular alternative vehicles over the last five years, and institutions and advisors expect to continue to increase allocations to hedge funds over the next five years.
Motivation and Hesitation
• For both institutions and advisors, the top three reasons for investing in alternatives remain the same as in last year’s survey: portfolio diversification, absolute returns, and exposure to different investment techniques, like arbitrage or shorting.
• Institutions and advisors are much more concerned, however, about lack of liquidity and transparency than they were last year.
Definitions of “alternative”
• Compared to the 2008 survey, fewer institutions and advisors view real estate investment trusts and commodities as alternative asset classes.
• Both institutions and advisors tend to classify investments as “alternative” based on the investment’s strategy, i.e. absolute return, rather than the investment’s designation, i.e. mutual fund versus hedge fund.
“Perhaps most important for investment consultants, advisors, and money management firms to note is the survey once again found that overall both institutions and advisors want the benefits of alternative strategies with the positive characteristics of traditional investments—low correlation with liquidity, absolute returns with transparency, and redemptions without restrictions,” Deutsch added.
Morningstar and Barron’s conducted the Web-based survey in late September through early October 2009; 89 institutions and 300 financial advisors participated. Survey results appear in the Nov. 9 issue of Barron’s and online at Barrons.com.
Reuters – The UK Railways Pension Schemes, one of the UK’s largest plans, has invested 65 million pounds in London-based asset manager Goodhart Partners’ global long-short equity fund of hedge funds.
Railpen Investments, the fund manager of the industry-wide scheme with assets of over 15 billion pounds, has some 8 percent of its assets in hedge fund strategies.
”Goodhart’s Long-Short fund offers large institutions exposure to small and specialist hedge fund managers, with the degree of governance and due diligence these allocations require,” said Paul Jeffries, an investment analyst at Railpen.
Financial Standard – Pension funds around the world are expected to pump up their $547 billion hedge fund allocation by more than $60 billion before December as they look to balance assets and liabilities, new research shows.
Hedge fund managers are expected to heap an extra $63 billion into their coffers from pension funds and family offices.
But insurance companies, private banks, endowments and foundations are all likely to decrease their allocations to the sector, according to Barclays Capital.
The report, which surveyed 300 investors and 100 hedge fund managers representing $873 million of hedge fund assets, noted investors were ready to aggressively allocate their cash balances but will demand liquidity in the process.
Barron’s is out with its annual hedge fund 100 list and we wanted to post up all the media relating to it. Barron’s mentions that hedge fund assets plummeted from $1.9 trillion to $1.4 trillion throughout the course of 2008. That is a staggering number, but it definitely highlights the real problems the industry had during the year. While redemptions were fierce over the last year, reports are out saying that nearly 80% of redemption activity was high net worth and retail investors, rather than institutions. This will definitely be interesting as it could affect the health of the industry moving forwards. If institutions suddenly drop their allocations to hedge funds, then there will be big ramifications across the industry.
Reuters – Pension funds will likely funnel more money into hedge funds and become a powerful engine of growth for the industry in the coming months, a hedge fund industry veteran said on Wednesday.
"We are finding that corporate pension funds are looking at hedge funds for allocations for their equity exposures, said Carrie McCabe, chief executive of Lasair Capital LLC, a firm that creates portfolios of hedge funds for clients.
McCabe, who cemented her reputation in the hedge fund industry while running Blackstone Alternative Asset Management and FRM Americas, described a real urgency to pension funds’ desire to beef up their returns with hedge funds in a hurry.
Reuters – The nation’s second-largest pension fund, the Universities Superannuation Scheme (USS), said it was sticking by a medium-term plan to double exposure to alternative assets such as hedge funds and private equity.
The 23 billion pound pension scheme confirmed the target as it announced its first appointment to a new hedge funds team on Monday.
USS currently has 10 percent exposure to alternatives, making it already one of the more adventurous UK pension funds.
Its plan to increase that to 20 percent, coupled with specific move to boost hedge fund investment, will be comfort to an industry which struggled with poor performance and heavy outflows during a turbulent 2008.
"We believe that the current turmoil in the hedge fund industry represents a compelling investment opportunity for investors like USS who are able to take the long-term view," said USS’s head of alternative assets Michael Powell.
There have been fears that conservative long-term investors such as pension schemes could be put off future allocations to hedge funds.
West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) – In their summary of hedge fund performance for the fourth quarter and full year of 2008, Morningstar reported that 2008′s low returns wiped out the last two years gains.
Investors lost their appetite for hedge funds in 2008, Morningstar says, as the vehicles intended to deliver absolute returns were forced to resort to relative claims of success.
"In 2008, hedge fund managers generally failed to deliver," said Morningstar Hedge Fund Analyst Nadia Papagiannis. "The average hedge fund may have lost less than the stock market, thanks in part to large cash allocations, but this level of performance was not why investors agreed to pay 2% management fees and 20% performance fees."
Hedge fund inflows peaked in June 2007 and bottomed in October 2008, when more than $21 billion left the industry. In November 2008, another $19.4 billion flowed out of hedge funds, setting the year-to-date outflows at more than $44 billion.
The number of funds dropping out of Morningstar`s database increased more than 150% in 2008 from 2007—1,158 single-manager funds and 490 funds of funds were removed in 2008 compared to 434 single-manager funds and 208 funds of funds in 2007. (Funds are removed from Morningstar’s database if the fund liquidates, if the manager wishes to stop reporting returns, or if funds fail to report returns for six months.)
Emerging market equities proved to be the worst strategy in 2008, along with convertible arbitrage funds, which took a big hit in 2008.
The best-performing strategy this year was global trend following, a systematic strategy that tracks price trends in liquid derivatives such as futures, options, and currency forwards.
Morningstar has approximately 8,400 hedge funds and funds of hedge funds in its database.
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West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) – When surveyed about what they think about fee levels and value for money offered by investment managers, investors believe that managment fees are too high.
Two surveys were conducted by bfinance in December, questioning institutional investors and asset managers from Europe, North America, and the Gulf Region.
"The results indicate that pension funds believe investment management fees are too high and need to come down, and a majority of managers seem to agree." David Vafai, CEO of bfinance commented.
With regards to hedge fund and fund of hedge fund fee levels, pension funds generally feel that all fees need to be reduced. 77% of respondents state their first priority is for lower base fees, followed by 52% who indicate their desire for performance fees to be reduced and for there to be an increase in hurdle rates. Also, 65% of investors say that these performance fees should be calculated over a four or five year period.
"Clearly, investors are still willing to pay performance fees to reward long-term skill but are no longer willing to pay active fees for beta or for ‘luck’", commented Olivier Cassin, Managing Director, Research and Development for bfinance.
Hedge fund managers agree that fees would likely go down and indicate they expect the median level for base fees for FoHFs to decline 9% to 95bps and for the median level of performance fees for hedge funds to decline 25% to 13%.
Vafai concluded, "Although the study indicates disenchantment with the industry in general, and disenchantment with Fund of Hedge Funds and GTAA managers comes out particularly clearly, the study also rather paradoxically suggests that allocations to FoHFs, as well GTAA, Infrastructure, Real Estate and Private Equity FoFs are set to increase in the future. This confirms the results of our recent study on the impact of the crisis on pension fund asset allocation."
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Reuters – Volatility spread across stock and foreign exchange markets on Tuesday as investors eyed a Federal Reserve meeting expected to cut interest rates and hint at future unorthodox monetary policies to lift the U.S. economy.
European stocks reversed early losses to put in solid gains after better-than-expected euro zone manufacturing data. The dollar firmed against the euro after earlier hitting a two-month low.
Oil was trading below $45 but was supported by expectations that OPEC will agree its largest supply cut ever later in the week.
The Fed is widely expected to cut interest rates to just 0.5 percent or lower. Futures markets are setting a two-thirds possibility of a 75 basis points cut to 0.25 percent.
Reuters – U.S. Treasury debt prices jumped on Tuesday, pushing the benchmark note’s yield down to fresh five-decade lows, after the Federal Reserve slashed interest rates near zero and vowed to extend its quantitative easing measures.
In an unprecedented move, the Fed cut its target for overnight interest rates to a target of zero to 0.25 percent, the lowest on record.
"The decision is setting the Treasury market rallying because of a more dramatic move than the market expected," said Haag Sherman, co-founder and managing director of Salient Partners in Houston, Texas. "The Fed has been sending a message it will throw everything it has at deflation," and Tuesday’s aggressive rate cut and policy statement reinforced that message, he said.
The benchmark 10-year Treasury note’s price, which moves inversely to its yield, jumped 1-16/32, pushing its yield down to a five-decade low of 2.35 percent <US10YT=RR>, versus 2.52 percent late Tuesday.
"The focus of the Committee’s policy going forward will be to support the functioning of financial markets and stimulate the economy through open market operations and other measures that sustain the size of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet at a high level," said the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee in its accompanying statement.
CNNMoney.com – On a gloomy morning in early August, more than a month before Wall Street and the world’s financial system seized up, a senior aide to Iceland’s Prime Minister paid a visit to the Russian embassy in Reykjavík to make a controversial request: Bail us out.
Iceland had one of the richest economies in Europe, but it had a problem. Its three main private sector banks had become so large that their assets amounted to more than ten times the gross domestic product of the country – and there were signs that they might run into trouble.
Iceland had asked its traditional allies for help, but to its consternation, its pleas to the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank went unheeded. Instead, the answer was always, "Ask the International Monetary Fund" – a drastic step Iceland didn’t want to take.
Asbury Park Press – The end of the George W. Bush era brings some Grateful Dead lyrics to mind: "What a long, strange trip it’s been."
The first Bush term opened following the bursting of the tech bubble, which had been inflated by cocktail-napkin business plans for dot-coms. Stocks plummeted. The economy contracted dramatically in the third quarter of 2000, followed by a full-blown recession in March 2001 and the horror of Sept. 11. Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan cut interest rates down to practically nothing and, with help from the Bush administration’s tax cuts and unbridled spending by Congress, created easy-money housing and credit bubbles during the Age of Froth.
