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This is London – It also led many in the City to believe the Bank favours a weak currency, prompting a series of downbeat forecasts today. “I’m super bearish on the pound,” said Hans-Guenter Redeker, the London-based head of foreign exchange at BNP Paribas.
“The Bank of England has made it clear it can’t afford a stronger currency.” He forecast the pound would fall to $1.50 in 12 months.
John Taylor, chief executive of New York hedge fund FX Concepts, said sterling will “get crushed” and sink as low as $1.45 in the coming months.
“The fundamentals in the UK are certainly not pretty,” he said. “It’s a race for the least ugly of the candidates, and I would argue that the US is going to be the least ugly for a while.” Others were more upbeat and said the measures taken by the Bank and the Government to ease the slowdown will boost sterling. HSBC predicted the pound would rise to $1.75 by the end of next year — midway between the high of $2.12 in November 2007 and the low of $1.38 in March this year.
Times Online – Guardian Media Group, the owner of The Guardian and The Observer newspapers, lost £24m last year on botched currency trading as it tried to protect hedge-fund investments.
The newspaper publisher, which is considering closingThe Observer, the world’s oldest Sunday newspaper, was caught out by the dollar’s rapid rise against sterling which led to a £24m loss.
The investments were made out of a £200m investment fund designed to spread GMG’s risk away from volatile advertising markets.
Sources said the fund was never intended to make a profit in its first year and the losses were the result of a ”mark to market” valuation at the end of March. However, the scale of losses from derivatives investments, which contributed to a £90m annual group loss, will alarm its left-leaning readership.
CityWire.co.uk – Hedge fund giant Man Investments is to launch its popular AHL managed futures trading strategy into the retail market.
The fund, which is planned for launch on 1 October, will be domiciled in the UK and employ Ucits III powers. It will deal on a weekly basis, giving it the edge on a number of rival strategies, which tend to only offer monthly dealing.
AHL strategies have proved successful over the years. The firm’s flagship AHL Alpha hedge fund has returned 17.9% a year since 1995, when hedged back into sterling, according to the firm.
