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HedgeCo.net (West Palm Beach) – Hedge fund consultant, Hennessee Group LLC, reported that managers benefited as international equities rallied in July, while the unpredictability of government intervention continues to be one of the greatest concerns for hedge funds.
“We have expected greater scrutiny and new regulation for the financial industry, and specifically for hedge funds, in 2009,” commented Charles Gradante, Co-Founder of Hennessee Group. “In the energy markets, regulators are calling for hard position limits on financially settled energy contracts set by NYMEX, starting as soon as September. While the goal is to reduce speculation and volatility in the energy markets, this could potentially reduce transparency by shifting trading to over-the-counter markets and decrease liquidity. The unpredictability of government intervention continues to be one of the greatest concerns for hedge funds.”
"The deterioration of the economy has clearly slowed, however we continue to see positive signs that we are on the road to recovery, including increases in new home sales, new orders, and production." Gradante said, "I am still cautious and see emerging signs of ‘protectionism’ in the form of dramatic reductions in external lending by G-7 institutions, which could stifle a global economic recovery."
“Hedge funds underperformed in July, as we would expect, but were able to capture a good portion of the market rally in July,” said Lee Hennessee, Managing Principal of Hennessee Group. “Managers opened up their net exposures to participate, but also benefited from a better than expected earnings season. However, managers remain vigilant, knowing that the markets could crack and crack quickly. The VIX is at pre-crisis August 2008 levels and that worries many.”
The Hennessee Hedge Fund Index advanced +3.37% in July (+15.50% YTD), while the S&P 500 increased +7.41%.
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West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) – “Hennessee Group research and discussions with hedge fund managers has lead us to believe that the 20 year secular bull market in bonds is over.” Charles Gradante, Co-Founder of hedge fund investor consultant, Hennessee Group LLC, said of the 9 year high point seen this month in hedge funds.
“We see a problem growing in the bond market. The Government is issuing more debt than it is buying back. This has to lead to rates increasing and equity PE ratios adjusting downward. Our contacts among hedge fund managers continue to buy gold and short Treasuries. However, Hennessee Group expects the Treasury and Fed to put a short squeeze on at an opportune time.”
The Hennessee Hedge Fund Index advanced +5.68% in May (+11.40% YTD), while the S&P 500 increased +5.31% (+1.76% YTD), the Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced +4.07% (-3.14% YTD), and the NASDAQ Composite Index advanced +3.32% (+12.52% YTD). Bonds also rose, as the Barclays Aggregate Bond Index advanced +0.73% (+1.33% YTD).
Managers have been maintaining a conservative investment strategy, which has caused them to lag in the recent market rally. In May, funds also benefited from long positions in energy and commodity-related positions, which performed strongly.
“With hedge funds up +5.68%, May was the best month for hedge funds since February 2000, when the index was up +6.83,” said Lee Hennessee , Managing Principal of Hennessee Group . “Gains were largely driven by arbitrage strategies. However, long/short equity managers, with reduced levels of exposure, also performed well, participating significantly in the market rally while maintaining hedges. With a market correction in the short term being a possibility, we feel that most hedge funds are positioned conservatively and will be able to quickly alter exposures to protect capital if the market experiences a correction.”
“May had the biggest one month run up in commodities in 35 years,” commented Charles Gradante. “It appears to us, from Hennessee Group research and manager conversations, to be speculative and led by commodity ETF demand, which exceeds "real" demand. Furthermore, margin requirements favor the speculators. Hedge funds are betting commodities will continue to rise with many long agriculture commodities, such as sugar and corn.”
Editing by Alex Akesson
For HedgeCo.Net Email: alex@hedgeco.net
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West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) – Hedge fund adviser, Hennessee Group LLC, announced that the Hennessee Hedge Fund Index advanced +3.84% in April (+5.02% YTD).
“April continued to be a challenging environment for hedge funds, as the market rally was driven by short covering and momentum, rather than changes in fundamentals,” commented Charles Gradante, Co-Founder of Hennessee Group. “While we have seen some improvement in data (most typically that the rate of deterioration is slowing), most funds remain conservatively positioned. Funds are cautious and will wait for fundamentals to improve before significantly expanding their net exposures.”
“Hedge funds underperformed again in April, but have still outperformed year to date. Volatility remains elevated with the S&P 500 experiencing a gain or loss greater than 8% each month this year,” said Lee Hennessee , Managing Principal of Hennessee Group . “Last year hedge funds did a good job of protecting capital, so they don’t need a huge rally to reach a new high water mark. Equity markets would need to double from current levels to reach their previous high.”
Alex Akesson
Editor for HedgeCo.Net Email: alex@hedgeco.net
HedgeCo.Net is a premier hedge fund database and community for qualified and accredited investors only. Membership on www.hedgeco.net is FREE and EASY. We also offer FREE LISTINGS for Hedge Funds!
West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) – March was a challenging month for hedge funds, which entered the month with tight net exposures, according to research by hedge fund consultant Hennessee LLC.
Technology and healthcare/biotech were bright spots for hedge funds, as these sectors were relative outperformers. While the strong equity rally did cause short squeezes, most hedge fund managers expect short portfolios to generate profits in the near term.
The Hennessee Hedge Fund Index advanced +1.37% in March (+1.09% YTD), while the S&P 500 advanced +8.54% (-11.67% YTD).
“Most funds were caught with tight net exposures and were unable to participate in the rally," Charles Gradante, Co-Founder of Hennessee Group said, "Managers were also hurt as the sectors they have been heavily short, such as financials, consumer discretionary and materials, were the sectors that rallied the strongest.”
“Despite the underperformance in March relative to the equity benchmarks, hedge funds are still outperforming for the year,” said Lee Hennessee , Managing Principal of Hennessee Group. “We expect that we will continue to see volatility throughout the year.”
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