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New York (HedgeCo.net) – Despite rich equity market multiples and uncertainty surrounding the upcoming 3rd quarter earnings reports, Hennessee Group said that hedge fund investors continued to pile into stocks due to an uptick in merger activity during September.
The Hennessee Long/Short Equity Index gained +3.13% in September (+18.75% YTD), while the S&P 500 index finished September up +3.6%, faring much better than the average loss of -1.2% the S&P has historically posted during the month of September dating back to 1929.
Hedge funds have also taken on additional directional risk in order to participate in the ongoing equity market rally and Hennessee believes they remain cautious and aware that the market could turn sharply to the downside.
“Little of the bail out money given to banks seems to have been passed on to businesses or consumers. It must have gone somewhere, and it is possible that is has gone to the proprietary desks of the banks, which are putting it to work in the markets,” Charles Gradante Co-Founder of Hennessee Group, said. “That could lead to a potential problem if the public and institutions do not join the rally, and the banks eventually have to sell equities into a vacuum.”
“The current debate among hedge fund managers is ‘Deflation versus Inflation’,” Gradante said, “The weak dollar and deficits are inflationary, but the 30 year treasury below 4% (80 bps over the 10 year) points to deflation expectations. Hennessee research is noticing a growing propensity of hedge funds to short 20 and 30 year treasuries as yields break 4%. The U.S. Treasury is currently funding its long term debt with 3 to 10 year Treasuries. The need to finance America ’s debt on the long end of the curve with attractive yields is increasingly obvious.”
Times Online – A group of banks that financed the £450 million leveraged buy-out (LBO) of car wash group IMO will take control of the struggling business leaving a rival group of hedge fund investors with nothing.
In a High Court decision that lawyers say will damage hedge funds’ interests in dozens of ailing private equity deals, a judge awarded 100 per cent of IMO’s equity to the banks, led by HBOS.
The hedge funds, which also lent money to back the 2006 buy-out, argued that they were entitled to some equity in the business, which is being restructured after defaulting on its debts in March.
New York (HedgeCo.net) – Hennessee Group LLC, an adviser to hedge fund investors, voiced concern in early 2009 that the global financial crisis could enter a new and more dangerous phase, one that could push several international countries to the brink of failure and further hinder the global economic recovery.
Of particular concern to the Hennessee Group was the dramatic growth in external debt exposures of G7 and emerging countries and the increasing risk of another outright failure similar to that of Iceland when they had a debt to GDP ratio exceeding 900%. However, Hennessee Group research now indicates that this risk has begun to subside as the majority of countries have experienced a decline in their overall external debt exposure in recent months after reaching all time highs in 2008. That said, the Hennessee Group now believes this development could come at the cost of economic growth as the majority of the decline in external debt has been due to a dramatic drop off in bank lending to foreign institutions.
Charles Gradante, Co-Founder of the Hennessee Group, noted “While the decline in external debt, particularly for countries like the U.K., is a positive development and is likely to reduce the risk of another Iceland, we fear the primary driver behind the external debt reduction, specifically the drop off in external bank lending, could ultimately slow the pace of the global economic recovery.” The Hennessee Group believes it is essential to global growth that banks resume prudent external lending to businesses and individuals to further alleviate the financial crisis and promote economic growth.
In its February 2009 research paper, the Hennessee Group highlighted numerous countries, particularly in the euro zone, that appeared to be building uncomfortably high external debt levels in recent years relative to their economic output. The bright spot, at that time, was the low level of U.S. external debt to GDP output (84%).
The Netherlands reached an external debt to GDP ratio of approximately 328%, while Ireland had a similar exposure ratio to that of Iceland, a staggering 900%. The UK’s debt to GDP ratio reached 456% while Switzerland’s rose to 433%.
Gradante stated, “We believe the build up in external debt was both alarming and unsustainable, particularly for many European countries, and that if the trend continued we could be at risk of a major systemic event.” Gradante continued, “Since our initial analysis, the majority of countries have started to reduce external lending.
The U.K. has decreased its external debt by nearly $3.5 trillion from its high of $12.1 trillion in the first quarter of 2008. While we believe this is a positive development from the perspective that it alleviates our initial concern regarding another Iceland; a closer look at the underlying numbers has revealed a new concern. The vast majority of the reduction is due to a decline in external bank lending, which we believe will present additional challenges going forward. Of the $3.5 trillion decline in the U.K. external debt, $2 trillion can be attributed to a drop off in external bank lending. This could present additional challenges to an economic recovery.”
The Hennessee Group believes this new trend is not just a problem isolated to the U.K. but rather a worldwide issue. In a recent press release by the Bank for International Settlements, they stated, “After a relatively small change in total outstanding stocks in the third quarter, banks’ external claims shrank by 5.4% in the fourth quarter of 2008 ($1.8 trillion at constant exchange rates), to $31 trillion.” They added, “This was the largest reduction ever recorded.” The global economy may very well struggle to recover if the banks remain unwilling to increase external debt lending and may result in a resurrection of protectionism.
Seeking Alpha – During the past week, almost 15 percent of investors have expressed a specific interest in India-focused funds. When compared with the first week of the second quarter, this percentage is almost double. In a recent article in Hedge Funds India (see, “Hedge Fund Managers Cautious: Focus on China and India,” June 22, 2009), Seppo Leskinen, an investment manager stated
I think the shift of the world’s economies has gone to China and India and these BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China) economies. They are the new economy superpowers in the economic world.
A study by HedgeFund.net (HFN) seems to support this opinion. HFN found that since the first of the year, India-focused hedge funds have produced average returns of 19.6 percent. The same study also estimated that between late 2005 and September 2008, the total assets allocated to India-focused hedge funds increased from $2.8 billion to almost $14 billion. This increase of close to 500 percent shows that hedge fund investors have been looking for more exposure to India.
HedgeCo.net (West Palm Beach) – CEO and CIO of Hall Capital Partners, Kathryn Hall, will be awarded the 100 Women in Hedge Funds 2009 Industry Leadership Award at its New York Gala, on November 18, 2009.
Each year, the organization identifies a woman whose professional talent, business ethic, and passion for investing help define and advance the hedge fund industry’s standards of excellence. This year’s theme is Education and net proceeds from the NY Gala will be given to Computers for Youth.
Hall Capital Partners LLC was founded by Hill as Laurel Management Company in 1994, it currently manages more than $17 billion in assets. Hall formerly served as a General Partner of HFS Management Partners (predecessor to Farallon Capital Partners) and an early advisor to hedge fund investors.
"Katie stands out for her long history of working closely with investors to navigate the difficult landscape of hedge fund investing. She has bona fides as both an investor and hedge fund manger, and that experience gives her an especially insightful perspective in the current turbulent market," noted Lauren Malafronte, Director, Barclays Capital and Board member of 100 Women in Hedge Funds Foundation. "Katie has a well-established reputation for communication with investors; her leadership in this area makes her a role model for so many women in the industry.
Past awardees include Sonia Gardner, Avenue Capital; Jane Mendillo, Harvard Management Company; and Anne Dinning, D. E. Shaw group.
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Reuters – Many hedge fund investors burned by last year’s market meltdown will likely demand a system of checks and balances in which outsiders keep a closer watch over assets, data released on Wednesday show.
Pension funds, endowments and wealthy investors that have long funneled money into loosely regulated hedge funds will want to see more data detailing how their investments are valued and priced, researchers at State Street Corp found.
MONACO (Reuters) – Former Insight Investment fund managers Patrick Armstrong and Ana Cukic-Armstrong have launched a new fund management business that will invest in a broad range of assets and seek to beat inflation.
The firm, Armstrong Investment Managers, will try to combine hedge fund-style flexibility with the liquidity and lower fees of traditional asset management. It will launch funds for retail, high net worth and pension fund investors at the end of the summer, Patrick Armstrong told Reuters on Tuesday.
The pair were co-heads of the multi-asset group at Insight Investment, now owned by Lloyds Banking Group. They ran around 1.2 billion pounds in assets including the Diversified Target Return fund, which over the past three years fell 2 percent, beating an average 11 percent fall among peer funds.
"We think there is a middle ground between traditional funds and hedge funds," Armstrong said. "Hedge funds have been opaque, illiquid and had very high charges."
Alibaba News Channel – We’re not quite there yet, but hedge fund managers may soon need to start giving away toasters — or perhaps plasma TVs — to woo new investors. Forcing the funds to eat a little humble pie now would benefit hedge fund investors in the long run.
Most hedge funds are off to a decent start this year — the average return to date is 9.43 percent, says Hedge Fund Research. Yet it’s a particularly tough time for launching a new fund. In the first five months of 2009, just 40 new funds have begun reporting performance figures, BarclayHedge reports.
West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) – AlternativeSoft has forged agreements with Crédit Agricole Structured Asset Management (CASAM) and Eurekahedge to provide all trial users of AlternativeSoft with free trials of the CASAM CISDM and the Eurekahedge Global Hedge Funds databases.
“We’re very pleased to build our relationship with AlternativeSoft in a way that will meaningfully strengthen Crédit Agricole Structured Asset Management’s presence in the alternative investment software sector. We are happy to offer AlternativeSoft and their potential clients the CASAM Hedge database for their 15 day software trial" said Jeff Lopez, Deputy CEO of Credit Agricole Structured Asset Management Advisers LLC.
"AlternativeSoft offers hedge fund investors the ability to perform complex portfolio optimisations in an efficient manner. We are delighted to be able to offer to these investors our multiple Eurekahedge databases during their 15 days free software trial. Doing so will give the opportunity to experience the software and the breadth of our database at the same time." said Eurekahedge CEO Alexander Mearns.
“AlternativeSoft is a user friendly quantitative portfolio construction software which focuses on extreme negative events. Our potential clients will have access to 13’000 hedge funds and this for free during the 15 days software trial. The trial of our software becomes effortless. The user can essentially construct and optimise their portfolios within minutes of opening the software, even in the 15 days free software trial.” said Laurent Favre, CEO of AlternativeSoft.
AlternativeSoft offers analytical software solutions and is a Swiss registered company with offices in Zurich and London. It is a global company providing a platform for portfolio construction, hedge fund selection, tactical asset allocation and hedge fund replication dedicated to fund of funds, banks and institutional investors. Their software enables investors to analyse numerous hedge funds, funds of funds to help construct portfolios which minimise extreme negative returns.
Bloomberg – HSBC Holdings Plc’s U.S. securities division will no longer extend structured financing to hedge- fund investors to leverage their investments, according to people familiar with the company’s plans.
The bank is halting the financing by its structured-funds products division and eliminating an unspecified number of jobs in New York, said one of the people, who asked not to be identified because the information hasn’t been made public. The group reports to Steven Phan, global head of the investment access and solutions groups in London, the person said. Phan declined to comment.
“Hedge fund-linked strategies tie up a lot of capital because of the illiquidity of the underlying hedge fund,” said Keith Styrcula, chairman of the Structured Products Association, a New York-based industry group. “Those were among the very first lines of business that firms were cutting back on.”
Tampa Bay Online – Some consider them good capitalists. Others see them as opportunists. Still others call them vultures.
Whatever the name, hedge fund investors likely will be major players in Florida real estate in the next few years, buying up mortgage notes — troubled or not — for a fraction of their original value.
Often, the funds are passive investors. But here in Sun City Center, Jim Biggins is fighting to protect his family business, Cypress Creek Assisted Living Residence, from a Greenwich, Conn.-based hedge fund called Silver Point Capital.
West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) – Hedge fund manager, Majid Al Futtaim Asset Management, is launching its first Middle East and North Africa (MENA) equity fund, the Luxembourg domiciled ‘Elite MENA Equity Fund’.
Investors can invest alongside the family office of Majid Al Futtaim and gain access to the services of the portfolio management team responsible for the MENA equity investments. The Majid Al Futtaim family office has seeded the fund with Dh550 million ($150 million), making it one of the largest MENA equity funds available to investors.
"Investors deserve to have the best home for their money in both turbulent and stable investment environments." Iyad Malas, Chief Executive, Majid Al Futtaim Asset Management, said, "By opening the doors to the services of the portfolio management team responsible for Majid Al Futtaim’s family office, we offer investors a tried and tested place to invest. The Elite MENA Equity Fund offers investors an opportunity to invest with a team whose performance speaks for itself."
The new ‘long-only’ open-ended fund aims to achieve long-term asset growth and capital preservation through a ‘Risk-Managed Growth’ approach to MENA investments.
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