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New York (HedgeCo.Net ) – After a disappointing 2008, hedge funds seem to be on the up and up, advancing 1.10% in January according to the latest research by the New York-based Hennessee Group.
According to the research, convertible arbitrage funds are leading the pack, advancing 5.79% in January with the Arbitrage/Event Driven Index advancing 2.36% as a whole. Following suit was the long/short equity strategy, which was up .90% for the month. Experts analyzed this was due to profits made from shorting earnings, since only 55% of companies had met earnings expectations in January. In addition, the Global/Macro fund index rose .44% for the month.
Mutual funds also seem to be showing signs of revival. “We are encouraged by the $6.5 billion that poured into mutual funds during the last week of January,” said Lee Hennessee, Managing Principal of Hennessee Group. “We continue to monitor fund flows and believe that if this trend continues, it could be basing and a bullish sign for equity markets.”
Hedge funds outperformed the markets last month across the board. The S & P 500 dropped 8.57%, the NASDAQ Composite Index declined 6.38% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 8.84%.
Julie Scuderi Senior Editor for HedgeCo.Net Email: julie@hedgeco.net
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New York (HedgeCo.Net) – Although hedge funds finished up 2008 with some of the worst numbers to date, they showed some signs of promise in December. According to the latest research by the Hennessee Group LLC, a New York-based advisor to hedge fund investors, hedge funds advanced .51 percent in December.
Hedge funds finished up the year down 19.15 percent according to the research. Although it was a dismal year for funds as a whole, they still outperformed the S & P, which was down 38.5 percent on the year, the Dow Jones, who dropped almost 34 percent, and the NASDAQ Composite Index, which posted a 40 percent drop on the year.
One challenge for hedge funds in 2008 was the record number of redemption requests brought on by clients. Large hedge funds such as Citadel, Harbinger and Cerberus, along with about 80 others, had to put some form of restrictions on client withdrawals.
“Year-end redemptions were significant, as the average fund returned 15% to 25% of investors’ assets. Combined with negative performance and complete liquidations, the entire hedge fund industry started 2009 at close to 50% of the capital it was at the beginning of 2008,” said Charles Gradante, Co-Founder of the Hennessee Group. “However, this should be a positive for funds as less capital will be chasing the same long/short trades, which should lead to better returns.”
The Hennessee Long/Short Equity Index saw a .31 percent advance in December, while the year to date was down over 18 percent. The Global/Macro Index rose .61 percent in December, although taking an almost 21 percent hit for the year. The Arbitrage/Event Driven Index, which was down 18.5 percent on the year, advanced 1 percent in December.
Julie Scuderi Senior Editor for HedgeCo.Net Email: julie@hedgeco.net
The Australian – US stocks fell as another drop in oil prices and a warning from Toyota Motor underscored the unsparing nature of the slowdown.
Toyota forecast an operating loss for the current year, the first in the car maker’s history. The Japanese giant was thought to have developed a watertight strategy that would yield profits through thick and thin, making it the subject of managerial guides like the 2004 book The Toyota Way.
But the spreading recession caught up on Toyota, too, and it blamed a slump in the global automobile market and a sharp appreciation in the Japanese yen against major currencies for a likely loss. American depositary shares of Toyota fell $US3.50, or 5.45 per cent, to $US60.88.
General Motors was by far the weakest stock on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, falling US97 cents, or 22 per cent, to 3.52. Analysts warned that the Government rescue measure may not be enough to keep the car and truck maker out of bankruptcy court.
West Palm Beach (HedgeCo.net) - Alternative money managers and hedge fund restructuring advisers, Grisons Peak and IGS, have formed a joint venture to launch the Alternative Investment Merchant Banking (AIMB). The AIMB is to advise on M&A and restructuring deals for firms in the alternative assets industry, the business will be co-led by Paul Sullivan, Partner of Grisons Peak, and John Godden, CEO of IGS Group..
“With a 30% decline in AUM and an expected 50% decrease in the number of Fund managers and no incentive fees for 2008," John Godden, CEO of IGS Group, said, "we will see a continuing surge in merger and acquisitions activity as the Hedge Fund industry goes into an accelerated Darwinian phase. The alternative assets industry has traditionally been formed of boutiques which make for particular and complex merger issues requiring specialist knowledge of both Hedge Funds and M&A expertise.”
“The reduction in AUM in 2008 and the expected continuation of this trend in 2009 will increase the pressure on the owners and managers of alternative investment firms. Many of these firms will seek partners in order to improve profitability and increase their attractiveness to investors.” Paul Sullivan, Partner of Grisons Peak, concluded.
The 50:50 joint venture AIMB targets UK and European deals deal involving single fund managers with AUM of between $250m to $750m or Fund of Hedge Fund managers with AUM of between $400m and $1bn.
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Forex Pros – Global financial turmoil and recent attacks in Mumbai will likely spur foreign fund houses still looking to enter the high potential India market to hedge their risks with local partnerships rather than going it alone.
Factors such as high brand building costs and knowledge of local issues have already spurred most international players to favour joint ventures over "greenfield" operations as they seek to tap the relatively fast-growing and savings-rich economy.
The requirement that foreign fund houses put up $50 million in capital for a wholly owned operation, compared with a tenth of that or less for a joint venture, is also seen fuelling the trend as hard-hit Western money managers seek to preserve cash.
Bloomberg – Artradis Fund Management Pte, RAB Capital Plc’s Northwest unit and Cannizaro (Hong Kong) Ltd. are cutting fees and locking up investors’ money for longer in new hedge funds that will buy bonds after prices fell in Asia.
Merrill Lynch & Co.’s prime brokerage unit has been approached by at least eight money managers about starting such funds in Asia to buy beaten-up fixed-income securities such as convertible bonds, said Eddie Guillemette, the firm’s regional co-head of global markets financing and services. Some of the hedge fund managers are offering to reduce management and performance-based fees by as much as 50 percent, he said.
“You’ve got people who are now setting up vehicles with long lockups to take advantage of distressed or stressed asset classes where the pricing is now at a multidecade level of cheapness,” said Richard Johnston, Hong Kong-based Asia head of hedge fund consulting firm Albourne Partners Ltd. The UBS Convertible Asia ex-Japan Index is down 37 percent in dollar terms this year.
Bloomberg – Artradis Fund Management Pte, RAB Capital Plc’s Northwest unit and Cannizaro (Hong Kong) Ltd. are cutting fees and locking up investors’ money for longer in new hedge funds that will buy bonds after prices fell in Asia.
Merrill Lynch & Co.’s prime brokerage unit has been approached by at least eight money managers about starting such funds in Asia to buy beaten-up fixed-income securities such as convertible bonds, said Eddie Guillemette, the firm’s regional co-head of global markets financing and services. Some of the hedge fund managers are offering to reduce management and performance-based fees by as much as 50 percent, he said.
International Herald Tribune – Hedge fund managers usually shun the spotlight. But five of them, billionaires all, are about to come under the glare on Capitol Hill.
The money managers — Philip Falcone, Kenneth Griffin, John Paulson, James Simons and George Soros — have been called by a House panel to discuss some of their trade secrets at a hearing on Thursday.
The topics are likely to range from the managers’ use of leverage — the borrowed money that fuels investment returns on the way up but can be devastating on the way down; their funds’ bets in the markets; and the managers’ pay.
Also front and center will be the matter of oversight, one of the most contentious issues confronting the loosely regulated hedge fund industry. Regulation, or the lack of it, has been an issue since the 1990s, but it has come to the fore this year as questions have swirled about hedge funds’ role in the financial crisis.
Reuters – Hedge fund managers are reluctantly preparing to disclose their short positions to U.S. regulators on Monday, a move set to give a rare public glimpse into their secretive trading strategies two weeks later.
For shareholders who have blamed short sellers for driving down company stocks, it will be a chance to see who is targeting their firm.
It is also an experiment by U.S. securities regulators, putting short sellers briefly on a similar footing to large investors who accumulate stocks and are required to regularly disclose their positions publicly.
Under a temporary Securities and Exchange Commission order, big money managers will have to reveal the number and value of securities sold short each day last week.
Financial Times – Dubai yesterday joined the chorus of regulatory voices condemning the short-selling of shares as concern mounted that hedge funds shorting key Gulf companies are contributing to a dramatic drop in regional bourses.
Short selling, through which investors benefit from share price falls, is not allowed in the Gulf, but hedge funds have been shorting heavyweight regional stocks with the help of international brokerages and offshore accounts, according to local money managers. In the past three months, the MSCI Gulf index has dropped more than a fifth, which would equate to a loss of nearly $300bn (€208bn, £164bn) in total market capitalisation.
New York Times – Frazzled traders and money managers spent an angst-filled weekend struggling to fathom the sweeping bailout the Bush administration proposed for financial institutions in the United States and what it will mean for the world’s markets.
At big banks, staff members rushed to update trading records before the opening bell sounded on Monday morning in New York. Quants, those math-loving traders who use complex computer models to hunt out investments, tinkered with algorithms.
Some hedge fund managers, unsure where the markets will go or what the government will do, sought safety in cash. Securities lawyers sorted through new rules from the Securities and Exchange Commission that will require such funds to disclose their bearish bets on financial companies.
And in between, everyone tried to catch up on some sleep.
But after the Dow Jones industrial average cartwheeled a dizzying 1,023 points in 24 hours on Thursday and Friday, ending the week virtually where it began, just about the only thing people seemed to agree on was that this ride was not over.
Myrtle Beach Online – The deflating commodities bubble is claiming its first casualties as large investment funds absorb staggering losses from bad bets that prices for oil, precious metals and grains would keep going up.
Hedge fund operator Ospraie Management LLC notified investors Tuesday that it’s closing its flagship fund after it suffered losses in August on positions in energy, mining and other natural resource-related stocks that left the fund down nearly 40 percent year-to-date. It’s believed to be the first hedge fund to go bust in this latest commodities boom as prices come crashing down after a historic bull-run earlier this year.
And the bloodletting may have only begun. Wall Street analysts say similar trouble looms for other funds that got caught up in the exuberance of the boom but were too late in getting out.
They say Ospraie’s misfortunes illustrate one of the hard lessons emerging from the commodities bubble: Many money managers have never been through a commodities boom and so were ill-prepared for the hyper-volatility associated with hard assets.
"You’re always going to have victims when a market comes down this fast. People stayed at the party for too long," said Phil Flynn, energy analyst at Alaron Trading Corp. in Chicago.
