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Gold Seek – Risk has quickly regained its status as a four-letter word.
No one wants to hear about it and no one wants to think about it. But those willing to take it on (pragmatically, mind you) will likely earn greater rewards than they would have at any other point in the past twenty years.
Right now, the herd is absolutely afraid of any risk at all…even good risks. My case in point is when the bond market went upside-down again yesterday. Investors were buying up the “safest” assets in the world as fast as they could.
At one point in the day, T-bills were yielding less than zero. Essentially, someone was willing to lend the government money for nothing, absolutely zero, in return.
It’s like selling dollar bills for 99 cents. It just doesn’t make any sense, but it does prove one thing; practically no one is willing to take on any risk right now. No one knows what’s going to happen next and the sidelines are a cozy, warm, and safe place to be. I can hear the beaten down hedge fund managers (that still has a job) now, “I may not get ahead, but I’m not going to fall behind either.”
guardian.co.uk – Bolder hedge funds are looking to snap up convertible bonds at bargain prices, returning to an asset class that became a no-go area for them only a short while ago.
The convertible bond market has tumbled 44.5 percent since September, as hedge funds facing a wave of client redemptions paid back bank debt. Many said convertible arbitrage strategies were a thing of the past.
But yields are now reaching all-time highs and are starting to attract the first daring hedge funds back to the investment arena they traditionally dominated.
"You can buy a convertible right now on a 25 percent discount to the same bond issued by the same company," Emmanuel Roman of GLG Partners, one of Europe’s biggest hedge funds, told a recent conference.
"You get a 25 percent discount plus a call option. That doesn’t make any sense," he said.
CNBC – Japanese government bond futures tumbled nearly a full point on Thursday, with traders citing selling by foreign funds in a move that was exaggerated by thin conditions.
September futures plunged as much as 1.14 points to 137.11 as market players suspect that hedge funds sold a large amount of futures abruptly, with other market players spooked by the move and dumping positions as well.
Traders and analysts cited a variety of reasons — including selling tied to the lead contract’s roll-over next week and flows in the interest rate swaps market — but said there was not a single trigger. "A sudden selling of futures without any big cash bond market action showed the move was highly related to hedge funds who trade purely on technical reasons," said Satoshi Yamada, a senior strategist at Nikko Citigroup.
Other market players said the sharp drop showed just how fragile financial markets are right now as damaged banks have pulled back. "Why today? Why now? Why JGBs? Who knows," said Joseph Kraft, head of Japan capital markets at Dresdner Kleinwort. "Banks are scaling back and volumes are very thin. When you see sizable selling, everyone gets out of the way." The lead futures contract fell 0.85 point to 137.50, pulling further away from a four-month high of 138.80 hit last week.
Among other reasons noted for the selling, traders said that some bond dealers may have sold futures to hedge their books before the pricing of five-year bonds issued by two utilities. Others said that commodity trading advisers, or CTAs, may have finally sold futures because of their relative steepness compared with the cash market — a trend that had stirred worries in the market that it could lead to a sell-off.
Reuters- One year after Jeffrey Larson lost about $1.5 billion in one of the hedge fund industry’s most spectacular collapses, he is trying to raise fresh capital for a new fund, people familiar with his plans said.
"Larson is back and he has been calling virtually everyone in town, leaving no stone unturned," said a Boston-based investor who was contacted by Larson but declined to be identified so he could speak candidly about the new fund.
Larson’s $3 billion hedge fund firm, Sowood Capital Management, lost half of its capital a year ago following heavy losses on his bond market investments.