Each business day HedgeCo.Net keeps you informed with the top hedge fund industry news, opinion and insight from around the globe. From the latest hedge fund launches, to the impact of regulation, competition, and investor activism - we track the topics and people that make a difference to you.
Globe and Mail – Black clouds have been building over the hedge fund industry for much of the year, and a storm could break in coming weeks as investors receive their second set of lousy monthly results from funds that are meant to do well in good markets and bad.
A series of challenges, some unrelated to the hedge funds’ investment strategies, have combined to create lower returns and investor redemptions.
Industry experts expect some funds will be forced to close down as clients walk away.
The single biggest problem is performance. The most recent update of Scotia Capital Inc.’s hedge fund index shows the average fund was down 8.6 per cent in July, compared to a 1.74-per-cent decline in the S&P/TSX equity benchmark. Since its inception in 2005, the Scotia Capital hedge fund index averaged a 13.9-per-cent annual gain.
Reuters UK – The hedge fund industry’s trade-of-the-moment — betting on falling financial stocks and rising commodities — is set to offer further profits, despite July’s setback, but managers may have to alter their tactics.
Hedge funds may well profit from betting July’s bounce in battered financial stocks and decline in commodities was only a blip in a longer-term trend, since the fundamental reasons for disliking bank stocks and holding commodities remain intact.
However, with investors nervously watching every piece of performance data, many funds have had to scale back the size of these bets to avoid further poor numbers — or are taking bets likely to be less painful if markets go against them.
New York (HedgeCo.Net) – Fortress Investment Group, who oversees more than $18 billion in assets, is starting a new hedge fund that will invest in markets throughout the Middle East and North Africa.
The new fund, Fortress MENA, is set to launch near the end of September and seeks returns of 20 percent annually, according to insider documents obtained by Bloomberg. Headed by Philippe Peres, who has run the company’s Drawbridge Global Macro funds for the past five years, the fund will use a “significant” amount of its employee’s personal capital to launch. The documents did not state how much money the fund aimed to raise up front.
Fortress MENA will deal with equities, fixed-income securities and currencies throughout regions seeking to reduce their oil dependencies. This includes countries such as Lebanon, Qatar, Pakistan and Turkey.
This will be the fifth hedge fund in the company’s portfolio. Fortress went public in February, but has seen shares decrease 36 percent this year compared to the 13 percent decline of the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. Shares are trading almost 50 percent below their initial offering of $18.50.
Julie Scuderi Senior Editor for HedgeCo.Net Email: julie@hedgeco.net
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Seeking Alpha – If you happen to be in need of Vaseline and find that your local pharmacy is sold out, never fear. Chances are, the entire stock has been purchased by your friendly neighbourhood hedge fund manager. If you ask nicely, perhaps he’ll let you borrow a tub or two.
One of the signal trends of the past month or so has been the sharp decline in the oil price. Part of this is likely attributable to the China/global growth slowdown theme that Macro Man has highlighted recently, and part of it is likely a result of some sort of dollar strength feedback loop, which itself is at least partially attributable to a softening of the ECB’s rhetoric.
On the face of it, it would appear that the hedge fund world has dodged a bullet in oil. After all, the CFTC data has shown net speculative positioning to be fairly light over the past month or two, and even slightly negative for the last few weeks.
Tacoma News Tribune – Changes in winning and losing investments have come so swiftly of late that you might not have realized your favorite approach has backfired lately.
International funds – the hot funds of the last few years – have turned more disappointing than U.S. stock funds. Gold has lost its luster or, more precisely, more than $200 since reaching more than $1,000 an ounce a few months ago. Oil is in a bear market – a decline of 20 percent or more. Small-cap funds, which typically would be shunned during rough economic times, have been on a roll.
The last few weeks have shown why financial planners try to discourage clients from loading up on a few winners while discarding everything else. They know that changes in cycles can come quickly, and without warning, turning winners into losers and vice versa.
Many analysts are confessing their surprise at the twists of the last few weeks. It now appears that the globe is not immune from U.S. economic problems, although that was a favorite theory until a couple of months ago.
Financial Times – Brian Hunter, the trader who was blamed for the collapse of $9bn hedge fund Amaranth Advisors two years ago, has taken advantage of last month’s plunge in commodity prices to help propel the year-to-date return at the fund he now advises to 230 per cent.
The Peak Ridge Capital Commodities Volatility fund, which Mr Hunter advises, returned 24 per cent in July as commodities prices fell 10 per cent for the month.
The prices were down 19 per cent from their peak on July 3rd – the biggest monthly decline since March 1980, measured by the Reuters-Jefferies CRB Index.
Slumping demand and steadily rising inventories sent the prices for contracts ranging from oil to soyabeans plunging in July, suggesting that the six-year-old commodity bubble may have burst.
International Herald Tribune – Blackstone Group, manager of the world’s largest leveraged-buyout fund, said Wednesday that second-quarter profit beat analysts’ estimates as gains from hedge funds offset a decline in private-equity takeovers.
Net economic income, a measure that excludes some compensation costs, fell 75 percent to $165.6 million, or 15 cents a share, from $655 million, or 58 cents, a year earlier, the New York-based Blackstone said. That exceeded the average estimate of 8 cents a share by 10 analysts in a Bloomberg survey. Revenue declined 63 percent to $353.7 million.
Blackstone’s fees from buying and selling companies have plunged as buyouts of more than $2 billion dried up and initial public offerings fell to their lowest in four years. Investors backed away from the debt used to finance LBOs in the fallout from the collapse of subprime-mortgage securities in the second half of last year.
Reuters Singapore – Investors almost halved the money they put into Asia-focused hedge funds in the second quarter compared to the first three months of the year as a selloff in stocks hurt appetite for risky assets, data showed.
Asia-focused hedge funds received a net $530 million (268 million pounds) from investors in the April-June quarter, down from $1 billion in the first quarter, Chicago-based Hedge Fund Research said in a statement released late on Thursday.
Asian hedge funds grew by approximately $200 million to $100.48 billion, up just 0.25 percent from the first quarter, as inflows were mostly offset by a decline of nearly $320 million due to poor performance.
Reuters – Investors almost halved the money they put into Asia-focused hedge funds in the second quarter compared to the first three months of the year as a selloff in stocks hurt appetite for risky assets, data showed.
Asia-focused hedge funds received a net $530 million from investors in the April-June quarter, down from $1 billion in the first quarter, Chicago-based Hedge Fund Research said in a statement released late on Thursday.
Asian hedge funds grew by approximately $200 million to $100.48 billion, up just 0.25 percent from the first quarter, as inflows were mostly offset by a decline of nearly $320 million due to poor performance.
"Asian hedge fund investors reacted to continuing market volatility by adjusting allocations opportunistically to those regional markets that had posted sharp year-to-date losses," said Kenneth Heinz, president of Hedge Fund Research.
Bloomberg – Just when American International Group Inc. shareholders figured things couldn’t get worse at the world’s largest insurer, profit from the company’s private equity and hedge fund investments is evaporating.
Earnings from so-called alternative holdings were probably close to zero in the second quarter, after soaring 77 percent to $1.02 billion a year earlier, said Citigroup Inc. analyst Joshua Shanker.
The drop follows the worst first half for hedge funds in almost two decades and a 73 percent decline in the value of announced leveraged buyouts, according to data compiled by Chicago-based Hedge Fund Research Inc. and Bloomberg.
Bloomberg – Aozora Bank Ltd., the Japanese lender controlled by U.S. buyout fund Cerberus Capital Management LP, said first-quarter profit fell 75 percent as fees declined and returns on investments in hedge funds withered.
Net income dropped to 9.33 billion yen ($86.6 million) in the three months ended June 30 from 37 billion yen a year earlier, Aozora said in a statement today. The Tokyo-based bank left unchanged its full-year profit forecast of 44 billion yen.
Aozora’s stock slumped 18 percent during the quarter, the biggest decline of any Japanese bank, after a parent operating loss of 25 billion yen in the year ended March 31. Chief Executive Officer Federico Sacasa and other executives took pay cuts after annual profit plunged 93 percent, the bank said last month.
FINalternatives- Global hedge fund assets under management increased 30% in 2007 to a record $2.25 trillion, according to a new International Financial Services report.
Most of this growth was in the first three quarters, as market turbulence in the latter part of the year resulted in a slowdown in inflow of new funds and a decline in average returns.
New York remained the leading global location for hedge fund managers, with 40% of global assets, but its share was down from 50% in 2002 as growth of the hedge fund industry in Europe and Asia outpaced growth in the U.S. This was largely a result of a rise in institutional portfolio allocation into hedge funds in these regions during this period.
