Tag Archives: FOMC

Stock Market Strategy: Understanding Fed Speak & Economic Statistics

Guest Post: M.S. Howells & Co. Jose Mazas – ‘The Art of Lying’ To be the top economist in the nation, you have to be a good manipulator. Greenspan let it slip once. He said, “‘I know you believe you understand what you think I said, but I am not sure you realize that what you heard is not what […]

Liquidity Expands + Credit Markets Improve = Equity Market Rally

Stock Market Strategy: All signs point to a continuation of the current rally. We will continue to use the direction of liquidity and the behavior of the credit markets as our fundamental guides to equity investing. The primary news story making the rounds today involves the European bank stress test results. I have included the official results and accompanying statement […]

Stock Market Strategy: The More Things Change the More They Stay the Same

I must begin today’s missive with an ebullient congratulations to my good friend Blaine Bell! The wedding in Napa Valley this past weekend was beautiful, the bride radiant and the party atmosphere prodigious. While my computer did make the trip to Napa, it was used for portfolio management only. Any free time this past week was spent in the lovely […]

Stalking a Bear or a Windmill? Commodity Prices Surge, Inflation Trade Gains Steam

Is it a bear or a windmill we’re stalking? You may find yourself asking that question as the equity markets drift higher seemingly oblivious to a myriad of negative news.  Classic commentary such as “the market climbs a wall of worry” or “the trend is your friend” are being bandied about with increased regularity.  Of course, these sayings are useless […]

Stock Market Investing: Technical/Fundamental Battle, Investment Strategy: Ride the Gravy Train, FOMC Policy, Consumer Credit, Busi. Bankruptcy

Stock Market Investing: A battle between investment disciplines has developed over the last 3 weeks. As discussed in the Oct. 28th post, numerous warning signs of a technical nature are flashing. However, last week’s news headlines were replete with US$ bearish/equity market bullish fundamental data. Which discipline will ultimately prevail, technical or fundamental? The answer is unclear, for now we […]

Swedish Riksbank Takes Unprecedented Step, FOMC Minutes, Gold Bullish

This story is a must read and read carefully. The unprecedented actions of the Swedish Riksbank may be the precursor to a whole new phase of the quantitative easing shell game. And make no mistake about it, a true shell game is going on with the worlds fiat money supply. The central bankers are moving ever greater amounts of consistently […]