Tag Archives: Fed


Precious Metals Outlook,Stock Market Strategy and Worldwide Liquidity Update

Precious Metals Outlook: Bloomberg TV Headline: Goodby Gold Bloomberg TV ran the above story yesterday morning, interviews were conducted and a consensus was formed. Based on this simple indicator I would say that Gold Prices bottomed yesterday at around $1159.  We will call this indicator the ‘Fin. TV’ indicator. You may recall how unbelievably accurate the Fin. TV indicator was in […]

Stock Market Strategy: The More Things Change the More They Stay the Same

I must begin today’s missive with an ebullient congratulations to my good friend Blaine Bell! The wedding in Napa Valley this past weekend was beautiful, the bride radiant and the party atmosphere prodigious. While my computer did make the trip to Napa, it was used for portfolio management only. Any free time this past week was spent in the lovely […]

Understanding Recent Equity Market Mayhem: A Tidal Wave of Liquidity Creation Meets a Cavernous Trench of Debt

Over the last couple of weeks we have witnessed a series of conflicting reports from all over the media complex as to why equity markets are under pressure. Predictably, as soon as the markets recover a bit these same pundits come up with all sorts of reasons to cheer.  Needless to say these hysterical reports, bullish or bearish, are entirely […]

Equity Markets Plummet and Bounce: CNBC Reports a Finger is the Culprit…Q: Index or Middle?

The news cycle is moving almost as fast and furious as the equity markets. I have combined commentary from around the web that I feel best represents the issues we are all facing. Needless to say, the CNBC story suggesting a ‘fat finger’ was the cause of the market chaos we witnessed last week is pure tripe…unless of course they […]

Is Quantitative Easing Alive and Well? Evidence Mounts Suggesting the Answer Is Yes

Today, I’d like to address a curious phenomenon developing in the Treasury market. March 31st supposedly marked the end of the Fed’s quantitative easing (Q.E.) phase. We were told the Fed would no longer print money and buy mortgage backed securities. There was, of course, no discussion about the Fed printing money and buying other assets. However, ‘ending Q.E.’ carries […]

Stalking a Bear or a Windmill? Commodity Prices Surge, Inflation Trade Gains Steam

Is it a bear or a windmill we’re stalking? You may find yourself asking that question as the equity markets drift higher seemingly oblivious to a myriad of negative news.  Classic commentary such as “the market climbs a wall of worry” or “the trend is your friend” are being bandied about with increased regularity.  Of course, these sayings are useless […]

Fed Discount Rate Increase Exposed, Gold’s Anomalous Strength

A maelstrom of misinterpretation dominates the financial media outlets today in regards to last night’s Fed action. Click here for my audio post on the recent decision by the Fed to increase the discount rate. After listening to the above post, Gary Rosenthal had the following comments on the Fed move: 1) Federal Reserve banks currently have a record high of $1.14 Trillion […]

Sovereign Debt Spreads Widen on Greece/Portugal Worries, Equity/Commodity Markets Roiled, Fed Begins to Backtrack

The equity and commodity markets get rocked as Sovereign debt woes resurface. The burning question: Will the dramatic widening of credit spreads in Sovereign debt, beginning to resemble the CDS collapse of 2008 in the private sector, lead to a revisit of a 2008 type credit crisis and all the fallout associated with it?… Greece, Portugal woes intensify – WSJ […]

SEC Approves New Money Market Regulations; Motives Questionable, ZeroHedge Strengthens Case For Gold

The following is from www.zerohedge.com.  This piece is so profound that a reprint is required: The SEC passes regulation that only STRENGTHENS the case to own Gold Suspending Money Market Redemptions Is Now Legal; SEC Approves New Money Market Regulation In 4-1 Vote… …Well, in a nearly unanimous vote, Money Market Funds now have the ability to suspend redemptions, courtesy […]

Q.E. Will Not and Cannot End at This Time, Zero Hedge/Fed’s Bullard, US Mortgage Originations Seen Plummeting

I wrote yesterday: THE FED WILL NOT REDUCE LIQUIDITY AT THIS TIME. Today, I will reiterate and state: QUANTITATIVE EASING WILL NOT AND CANNOT END AT THIS TIME. This statement may appear to be rather bold in light of the noise emanating from traditional news outlets and the occasional Fed comment.  However, a review of the facts support the notion […]