Author Archives: Bret Rosenthal

About Bret Rosenthal

Interpreting the news that moves markets. Principal of RCM, LLC, and founding partner of the Fortune's Favor Family of Funds

Gary Dorsch of GMT Explains the Jobs Report, Commercial Bankruptcies Increase, Office Vacancy 16-Year High

Gary Dorsch, editor of Global Money Trends magazine, sums up the “important” jobs news released last Friday…. …And 14-months after losing 763,000-jobs in January 2009, US-payrolls, a key driver for the bond and stock markets, rose in March for only the third time since recession struck in late 2007 as the private sector stepped up hiring at the fastest pace in almost […]

Stalking the Bear – Part 1: Interest Rates on the Rise a Negative for Real Estate and Equity Prices

March comes to an end and the “celebration” of the year-long market rally remains in full swing.  Complacency among investors seems to reach new heights with each passing week as financial news outlets continue to serve up government grog as if it were Cristal. True, we at RCM have participated in this rally. We remain committed to our precious metals […]

Healthcare Vote Drives the Equity Markets Higher?! U.S. – China Trade War Brewing

The equity markets move higher responding to the results of the healthcare vote Sunday? If you can’t see through that illogical logic then no amount of reading this blog will help you. Please stop reading this post, don’t pass go and choose a card from the community chest as that seems to be the order of the day. For the […]

Greece Update: Bond Vigilantes Return, Credit Markets Elsewhere Recover, California Bonds in Demand?!

Time to check in with the Greek narrative. The hysteria has quieted down as new backroom deals to avert a meltdown are reported with some regularity.  However, the attempts to sweep Greece’s problems under the proverbial rug are occasionally sidetracked by a pack of rioters, or as is the case below, by the bond vigilantes. If rates continue to creep higher […]

Rosenberg: Anniversary of 666 & Government Sponsored Volatility

March 10th, 2010 Two remarkably well thought-out pieces by David Rosenberg, brought to us by Zero Hedge, demand our immediate attention.  Yesterday, Rosenberg used the anniversary of the S&P 500 low of 666 to draw some meaningful comparisons. Today, his discussion on Government sponsored volatility is spot on and needs to be absorbed if a successful investment strategy is to […]

Jim Rogers: Greece, Euro and the Speculator

Jim Rogers, the perennial purveyor of logic and reason, weighs in on Greece, the Euro and governements’ shameful attack on the “speculator” BE ADVISED: The video you are about the witness may cause temporary confusion mixed with bewilderment.  It may sound like Jim is speaking a language you cannot identify; rest assured the language is English.  However, he is using […]

Greek 10 Year Bond Deal Priced, Unique Perspective Into Sovereign CDS Hedge Farce

Greek funding update: Deal complete, interest acceptable, funding crisis averted for now…. New Greek €5 Billion 10 Year Bond Prices At 300 Over Midswaps, 326 bps Over 2020 Bund, Comes With 6.25% Coupon          Greek debt chief says bids for 10-year bond at EUR14 bln – DJ DJ reports the Greek government’s offering of 10-year bonds has attracted EUR14 billion […]

Inflection Point For Gold?

My Feb. 25th remarks  stressed the need for a solid defense based on the current market environment. Today, let’s have some fun and talk offense. We at RCM have carried the precious metals torch for quite some time. We have explained on countless occasions via this blog, via radio interviews and through one on one conversations, that prodigious fiat currency […]

Lending Falls, Bad Loans Haunt Big Banks, Mass Layoffs Surge, Greece vs California

The equity markets dropped on average 1.5% Monday and this morning another 1.5% decline is underway.  I mentioned, in A Review of the RCM Investment Strategy, the defensive posture we at RCM have taken. I said, “We have deployed our assets in a manner we feel most appropriate for the environment we are experiencing.” The following news items should help illustrate what […]

A Review of the RCM Investment Strategy

I have just now ended a conversation with a long-time client and Limited Partner (LP) of our Fortune’s Favor I, LP, (FFI) fund. As I hang up the phone I begin to write. Our healthy dialogue crystallized some thoughts that demand sharing. To begin, a review of the investment strategy that guides FFI may be in order. You may witness our approach in its […]


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